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Southern 5 Saturday

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 61
2 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 82
3 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 87
4 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 121
5 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 150
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 189
7 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 194
8 Boston University Boston University Terriers 205
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 4 1 2 4 1 3 4 3 22 Leonardo Burnham '29
Rachel Weiss '29
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 2 3 5 5 4 8 1 2 30 Wells Connor '29 [1-8]
Grace Popp '28 [1-2]
Isaac Kaldor '29 [3-8]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 1 4 4 12 2 10 5 1 39 Pierson Falk '28 [1-8]
Matthew Dupree '29 [1-3]
Jacob Lentz '29 [4-8]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 9 7 1 1 5 9 2 5 39 Gavin Morris '29
Demetry Spinola '26
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 8 2 9 2 3 1 3 15 43 Carl Furhoff '29
Emily Gaillard '29
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 3 DNS 3 3 9 2 6 4 47 Hal Johnson '29
Charlie Milward '28
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 5 6 7 10 6 6 10 7 57 Joseph Whelan '29
Finley Regan '27
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags A 14 5 10 6 8 7 9 10 69 Jane Matthews '26
Mason Macuch '28
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 13 15 6 9 11 4 7 9 74 Isabella Cho '27
James Diamantis '29
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags B 11 9 12 11 14 5 8 11 81 Michael Cunniff '26
Sawyer Obrien '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 10 13 16 7 12 13 12 6 89 Cole Capizzo '27 [1-4]
Colin Shearley '29 [5-8]
Colin Shearley '29 [1-4]
Cole Capizzo '27 [5-8]
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 7 12 11 16 10 14 13 8 91 Zachary Fournier '26
Aadi Sethi '29
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 6 11 8 14 15 11 15 12 92 Cole Norris '29
Emelyn Rudalavage '29
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 16 8 15 8 13 12 14 14 100 Colin Cleary '29
Joseph Gedraitis '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 12 10 14 15 7 15 16 13 102 Ian Peterson '28
Brendan Obrien '27
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 15 14 13 13 16 16 11 16 114 Brandon O’Sullivan '28
Issa Cisse '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers11111111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels22222222
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags33333333
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers44444444
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats77777777
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies55555555
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams88888888
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks66666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers99999999
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels1010101010101010
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags1111111111111111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1212121212121212
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1515151515151515
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1313131313131313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1616161616161616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1414141414141414

Conditions — 04/04/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1024.8 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 43°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.1 kn
avg  ·  max 13.4 kn
Gusts to 29.2 kn
From NE (56°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1024.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →