Massachusetts Maritime Academy '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05 (fleet -0.00) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.05 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 11–4 (73%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 11–4 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (15 matches) the record is 11–4 against 8.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.7). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Brenton Cove Team Race | skipper | 0.21 | 1.03 | 11–4 | 8.3 | +0.81 | 1.5 | 12% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| SHU Trophy 2026 | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.0 | -0.31 |
| Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Skipper | A | 4 | 15.5 | -0.98 |
| Mt. Hope Bay Invite | Skipper | A | 9 | 14.3 | — |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 15.9 | -0.90 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Sunday Salve Invite | Skipper | B | 5 | 10.2 | 0.23 |
| Southern 5 Saturday | Crew | A | 8 | 11.1 | -0.08 |
| Southern 7 | Skipper | A | 8 | 13.4 | -3.77 |
| Priddy | Skipper | A | 4 | 6.5 | 0.69 |
| CENTRAL 1 FLEET RACE | Skipper | A | 5 | 3.8 | 0.12 |
| Brenton Cove Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 67% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Mt. Hope Bay Invite | Skipper | A | 9 | 10.9 | 0.11 |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy 25 | Skipper | B | 7 | 15.6 | -0.55 |
| Chris Loder Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.7 | 0.83 |
| 2025 Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 12.5 | -0.48 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Colin Shearley |  Barnstable HS |
'25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
