CENTRAL 1 FLEET RACE

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 17 6 23
2 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 17 11 28
3 Williams College Williams College Ephs 6 24 30
4 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 19 13 32
5 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 23 32 55
6 Colby College Colby College Mules 26 31 57
7 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 33 24 57
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Williams College Williams College Ephs 1 1 1 1 2 6 Max Harthorne '28
Dihan Elijah Pagalilauan '29
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 3 3 5 3 17 Sean Morrison '27
Lilly Dubovsky '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 4 2 2 OCS 1 17 Zach Earnshaw '27
Onyx Lacey '29
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 2 4 7 2 4 19 Colin Shearley '29
Gabriella-Marie Diez '28
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 5 6 4 3 5 23 Georgia Green '28
Emyr Lo '29
Colby College Colby College Mules 6 5 5 4 6 26 Tracy Gibbs '28 [1-5]
Kailyn Mccarthy '29 [1-2]
Joseph Duffy '28 [3-5]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 7 7 6 6 7 33 Callixtus O'Neill '26 [1-5]
Meghan White '27 [1]
Maximilian Tyrrell '29 [2-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 2 1 1 1 6 Robert Heath '29 [1-2]
Emilia Perriera '28 [3-5]
Bridget Theisen '29 [1-2]
Nina Muscarella '27 [3-5]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 2 3 2 2 2 11 Evan Tofolo '28
Joseph Gedraitis '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 3 1 3 3 3 13 Colin Cleary '29
Henry Steadman '28
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 4 7 4 4 5 24 Neil Flynn '26
Caige Kaessinger '28
Williams College Williams College Ephs 6 4 5 5 4 24 Luca Scirica '28
Sydney Ghorayeb '26
Colby College Colby College Mules 5 6 6 6 DNF 31 Adeline Smith '29 [1-5]
Alexander Baez '29 [1-2]
Athinaanna Vlachos '29 [3-5]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 7 5 7 7 6 32 Stephanie Charbonnier '27 [1-5]
Byars Langdon '27 [1-2]
Alice Maffie '27 [3-5]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2024 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1010121214
Colby CollegeColby College Mules1111131315
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11212141416
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 21313151510
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers1414161611
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1515101012
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1616111113

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1111131315
Colby CollegeColby College Mules1212141416
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 11313151510
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 21414161611
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers1515101012
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1616111113
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1010121214

Conditions — 03/15/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1031.6 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 40°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 29°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.1 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From E (101°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine5.6 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1031.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 14 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Sacred Heart: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.14 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Sacred Heart by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Sacred Heart).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →