Lilly Dubovsky

Crew Rating

Career: 66.08 percentile of ICSA crews
1.251.501.752.002.252.50S. Morrison (9 races): +0.28S. MorrisonT. Winowiecki (8 races): -0.18T. WinowieckiSpring 2024: rating 1.66Spring 2024Salve Regina UniversityT. Winowiecki (4 races): +0.13T. WinowieckiE. Tullberg (23 races): +0.09E. TullbergFall 2024: rating 1.77Fall 2024Salve Regina UniversityS. Morrison (39 races): -0.01S. MorrisonFall 2025: rating 1.91Fall 2025Salve Regina UniversityS. Morrison (32 races): +0.13S. MorrisonSpring 2026: rating 2.02Spring 2026Salve Regina UniversityS. Morrison (35 races): -0.11S. MorrisonFall 2026: rating 2.35Fall 2026Salve Regina University
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Fall 2026 Salve Regina University 2.35 Rating 2.35; 90% range -0.4 to 5.1; team skipper average 1.49 69.95 72.22 3 of 9 35 Team page
Spring 2026 Salve Regina University 2.02 Rating 2.02; 90% range -0.6 to 4.7; team skipper average 1.46 67.16 70.00 2 of 5 32 Team page
Fall 2025 Salve Regina University 1.91 Rating 1.91; 90% range -0.8 to 4.6; team skipper average 1.07 62.06 75.00 2 of 6 39 Team page
Fall 2024 Salve Regina University 1.77 Rating 1.77; 90% range -1.0 to 4.5; team skipper average 1.11 59.21 72.22 3 of 9 31 Team page
Spring 2024 Salve Regina University 1.66 Rating 1.66; 90% range -0.9 to 4.3; team skipper average 1.68 54.91 58.33 3 of 6 17 Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.43 unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.00
about what the fleet rating predicts
as crew 16–14 (53%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 20262—16–8
Spring 20241—0–6

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 3 graded regattas (30 matches) the record is 16–14 against 16.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2026-03-21Brenton Cove Team Racecrew1.361.2914–414.2−0.070.068%
2026-03-07Salve TR Invitecrew1.241.052–42.1−0.190.090%
2024-03-16Ivan Geiger Team Racecrew2.49-0.510–60.4≤−3.000.6>99%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Fall 2026 Team page Season
Sister Esther Whalen Trophy Crew A 8 14.5 +0.25
Penobscot Bay Open Crew A 6 8.8 -0.13
Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 Crew B 8 14.2 -0.09
Callagy Ross '14 Regatta Crew A 13 9.6 -0.14
Spring 2026 Team page Season
Vietor Trophy Crew A 8 10.8 +0.43
Salve TR Invite Crew TR 7 43% —
Oberg Trophy Crew B 14 12.8 -0.04
Icebreaker Fleet Race Crew A 5 8.0 +0.04
CENTRAL 1 FLEET RACE Crew A 5 3.4 -0.31
Brenton Cove Team Race Crew TR 18 78% —
Fall 2025 Team page Season
The Hood Trophy Crew A 4 13.8 -0.09
Hatch Brown Trophy 2025 Crew C 3 14.3 +0.17
Harry Anderson Trophy Crew B 6 17.8 -0.31
Great Herring Pond Open Crew A 5 7.4 -0.09
The George Warren Smith Trophy 25 Crew B 7 12.0 +0.08
Chris Loder Trophy Crew B 6 3.8 +0.13
84th Professor Erwin Schell Trophy Crew A 8 14.5 +0.09
Spring 2025 Team page Season
BU Trophy Crew A 5 9.6 +0.23
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Sister Esther Trophy Crew A 12 9.5 -0.24
Mt. Hope Bay Invite Crew A 4 11.5 +0.13
Moody Trophy Crew A 11 10.4 +0.33
Crews Regatta Crew B 4 4.2 +0.00
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Sunday Southern #5 Fleet Race Crew A 6 12.3 +0.08
College Sailing Regional Teams Championship Crew B 4 8.5 -0.21
Ivan Geiger Team Race Crew TR 17 6% —
George E. Morris Trophy Crew A, B 7 6.0 +0.23

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →