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Hatch Brown Trophy 2025

# SchoolTeam A B C TOT
1 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 7 17 17 41
2 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 7 7 33 47
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 16 18 15 49
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 18 24 15 57
5 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 21 13 29 63
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 12 31 21 64
7 Boston College Boston College Eagles 24 16 25 65
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 35 13 24 72
9 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 25 28 22 75
10 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 36 36 8 80
11 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 36 28 22 86
12 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 40 29 19 88
13 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 24 28 39 91
14 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 37 43 31 111
15 Boston University Boston University Terriers 34 35 51 120
16 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 40 48 45 133
17 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 47 45 43 135
18 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech 54 54 54 162
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers221
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears443
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears141413
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels556
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green665
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson778
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners887
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers9910
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10109
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams151516
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111112
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121211
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131314
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161615
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech171718
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers221
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears443
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears141413
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels556
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green665
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson778
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners887
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers9910
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10109
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams151516
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111112
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121211
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131314
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161615
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech171718
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817

Division C

Team1C2C3C
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles112
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers221
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears334
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears443
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears141413
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels556
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green665
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson778
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners887
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers9910
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies10109
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams151516
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks111112
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121211
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos131314
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161615
Worcester Polytechnic InstituteWorcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytech171718
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Peter Busch '26 Madeline Torrey '28
Eagles Tanner Krygsveld '29 Sydney Lombard '29
Cody Roe '29 Christian Yanoti '29
Boston University Boston University Porter Bell '26 Amanda Wong '29
Terriers Peter Stewart '28 Meg Woolverton '27
Buck Rathbun '28 Tim Nguyen '28
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Michelangelo Vecchio '27 Elizabeth Wire '28
Polar Bears Ethan Danielson '26 Kate Lavallee '29
Kyra Phelan '26 Owen Benison '29
Brown University Brown University Blake Behrens '27 Caroline Keeffe-Jones '26
Bears Cam Spriggs '27 Brianna Ross '26
Tyler Lamm '28 Reese Corckran '28
Connecticut College Connecticut College Skylor Sweet '26 Sienna Young '29
Camels Rory Murray '29 Vivian Smith '27
William Hurd '27 Madeline Synnestvedt '27
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Chase Decker '28 Phoebe Lee '26
Big Green Ryan Satterberg '27 Lilly Baker '27
Turner Ryon '29 Kathryn Mcgranahan '29
Harvard University Harvard University Justin Callahan '26 Jacob Posner '29
Crimson Mitchell Callahan '26 Rosella Irfan '27
Harrison Strom '28 Christina Chen '27
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Finn Deprez '29 George White '27
Mariners Alistair Knoblauch '29 Cathleen Rutter '29
Toby Clarkson '29 Hannah Hills '29
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Robert Ulmer '27 Ellie Pinto '27
Engineers William Kulas '28 Elliott Chalcraft '27
Ryan Hoffman '28 Sophia Woodbury '28
Northeastern University Northeastern University Eva Ermlich '26 Nathalie Caudron '29
Huskies Gavin Hudson '28 Hala Gilbert '26
Charles Wilkinson '28 Lucinda Harley '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Carlos De Castro '26 Addyson Fisher '27
Hawks Kyle Pfrang '26 Jed Lory '27
Oliver Stokke '26 Carter Sheehan '27
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Jack Schneider '29 Emma Sharpe '28
Seahawks Robert Heath '29 Bridget Theisen '29
Sean Morrison '27 Lilly Dubovsky '27
Tufts University Tufts University Ben Mueller '26 Kate Castleberry '28
Jumbos Oliver Keeves '28 Reddin Kehrli '27
Courtland Doyle '27 Sean Beaver '27
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bradley Whiteway '26 Charles Pohl '26
Bears Luke Zylinski '26 Grace Austin '27
Julia Conneely '26 Gavin Vanmanen '27
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Tyler Nash '26 Ursula Budd '27
Rams Christopher Chwalk '28 [1-2]
Owen Grainger '28 [3]		 Vanessa Reid '26 [1-2]
Parker Brown '26 [3]
Keith Grupenhoff '29 Eric Pohl '28
University of Vermont University of Vermont Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez '26 William Layton '29
Catamounts Caitlin Derby '26 Lane Kaeyer '27
Cooper Smith '27 Caroline Welte '29
Worcester Polytechnic Institute Worcester Polytechnic Institute Owen Peterson '28 Sarah Gardner '27
Worcester Polytech Matthew Stecko '28 Robert Emken '29
Henry Donahue '27 Will Fairfax '28
Yale University Yale University Morgan Pinckney '27 Annabel Woodworth '28
Bulldogs Dorothy Mendelblatt '28 Sarah Moeder '26
Carly Kieding '29 Carmen Berg '26

Conditions — 09/13/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1019.4 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 16.3 kn
From S (180°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover40% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1019.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at MIT: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.16 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at MIT by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (112 labelled days at MIT).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →