Northeastern University '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.28 (fleet 3.20) | 163 of 328 | −0.04 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 19–38 (33%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 6–29 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 3 | 13–9 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 6 graded regattas (57 matches) the record is 19–38 against 20.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.7). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 6 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Staake Trophy | skipper | 2.63 | 3.81 | 5–3 | 3.4 | +1.18 | 1.4 | 16% |
| 2026-03-14 | Southern NE Team Race | skipper | 2.65 | 2.96 | 1–6 | 0.8 | +0.32 | 0.1 | 56% |
| 2026-03-07 | The Wood Trophy | skipper | 2.89 | -0.11 | 0–20 | 1.7 | ≤−3.00 | 2.5 | >99% |
| 2025-03-22 | 2025 Staake Trophy | skipper | 2.89 | 1.29 | 5–4 | 6.3 | −1.59 | 1.6 | 98% |
| 2025-03-15 | Ivan Geiger Trophy 2025 | skipper | 2.87 | 2.69 | 5–3 | 5.3 | −0.17 | 0.0 | 74% |
| 2025-03-08 | Camel Team Race | skipper | 2.83 | 2.61 | 3–2 | 3.2 | −0.23 | 0.0 | 78% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.8 | 3.09 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 | Skipper | B | 4 | 6.8 | 3.82 |
| Harry H. Anderson Jr. Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.3 | 2.43 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| The Wood Trophy | Skipper | TR | 20 | 0% | — |
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 8.7 | 2.60 |
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | A | 6 | 12.3 | 2.58 |
| Staake Trophy | Skipper | TR | 13 | 54% | — |
| Southern NE Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 14% | — |
| Open Eastern National Semis | Skipper | B | 1 | 14.0 | — |
| NEISA Open FR Champs - Coast Guard Alumni Bowl | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.7 | 3.22 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | A | 14 | 5.4 | 3.46 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Ester Trophy | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.5 | 4.78 |
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | A | 7 | 13.4 | 2.63 |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.5 | 4.98 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2025 | Skipper | B | 3 | 9.3 | 3.22 |
| Harry Anderson Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 12.7 | 2.74 |
| 84th Professor Erwin Schell Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 10.9 | 3.12 |
| The 34th Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | A | 7 | 7.0 | 3.80 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | A | 3 | 4.7 | 3.52 |
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | B | 2 | 16.0 | 0.09 |
| Ivan Geiger Trophy 2025 | Skipper | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| George Morris Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.8 | 2.71 |
| Camel Team Race | Skipper | TR | 8 | 50% | — |
| Admiral’s Cup | Skipper | A | 4 | 9.2 | 2.75 |
| 2025 Staake Trophy | Skipper | TR | 15 | 53% | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Gavin Hudson |  The Stony Brook School |
'24 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
