Dartmouth College '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.46 (fleet 3.37) | 134 of 331 | +0.03 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 21–28 (43%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 5 | 21–28 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (48 matches) the record is 21–27 against 19.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Mystic Lake Team Race | skipper | 2.74 | 3.11 | 4–10 | 3.1 | +0.37 | 0.2 | 37% |
| 2026-03-21 | Seahawk Team Race | skipper | 2.75 | 2.50 | 5–10 | 5.5 | −0.25 | 0.1 | 76% |
| 2026-03-01 | McMerrick Team Race Sunday | skipper | 2.86 | 3.59 | 5–2 | 4.4 | +0.73 | 0.3 | 44% |
| 2026-02-28 | McMerrick Team Race Saturday | skipper | 2.77 | 3.22 | 7–5 | 6.3 | +0.45 | 0.2 | 44% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 | Skipper | B | 8 | 8.1 | 3.41 |
| Harry H. Anderson Jr. Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 8.8 | 3.24 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 11.6 | 3.30 |
| The 35th Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | B | 4 | 8.5 | 3.49 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Skipper | TR | 15 | 53% | — |
| Seahawk Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 33% | — |
| NEISA Open FR Champs - Coast Guard Alumni Bowl | Skipper | B | 10 | 9.9 | 3.23 |
| Mystic Lake Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 29% | — |
| McMerrick Team Race Sunday | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| McMerrick Team Race Saturday | Skipper | TR | 13 | 62% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 5 | 5.8 | 3.93 |
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.7 | 2.50 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2025 | Skipper | C | 3 | 11.0 | 2.55 |
| Harry Anderson Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.2 | 2.97 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 13.1 | 2.97 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Turner Ryon |  Southern Regional High School |
'25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
