Salve Regina University '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.68 (fleet 2.30) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.02 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 17–6 (74%) as crew 0–1 (0%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 17–6 | 0–1 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (23 matches) the record is 17–6 against 17.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.1). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Brenton Cove Team Race | skipper | 2.00 | 1.93 | 14–4 | 14.2 | −0.07 | 0.0 | 68% |
| 2026-03-07 | Salve TR Invite | skipper | 1.80 | 2.21 | 3–2 | 2.9 | +0.40 | 0.0 | 81% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | B | 10 | 13.8 | 1.70 |
| Penobscot Bay Open | Skipper | B | 14 | 6.6 | 0.61 |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.7 | 2.50 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.9 | 2.30 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 | Skipper | C | 8 | 12.6 | 1.33 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | A | 2 | 14.5 | 0.91 |
| Salve TR Invite | Skipper | TR | 7 | 43% | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 14 | 7.1 | 2.34 |
| NEISA Open FR Champs - Coast Guard Alumni Bowl | Skipper | A | 10 | 12.5 | 2.77 |
| CENTRAL 1 FLEET RACE | Skipper | B | 2 | 1.5 | 2.60 |
| Brenton Cove Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 78% | — |
| Alymers Team race | Crew | TR | 8 | 0% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Ester Trophy | Skipper | A | 1 | 15.0 | -0.92 |
| Savin Hill Invite | Skipper | B | 8 | 9.1 | 1.95 |
| Penobscot Bay Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 7.2 | 0.79 |
| The Hood Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 13.0 | 1.32 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2025 | Skipper | B | 3 | 15.0 | 1.26 |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy 25 | Skipper | A | 6 | 13.0 | 1.04 |
| 84th Professor Erwin Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 14.2 | 1.97 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Robert Heath |  Severna Park |
'25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
