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Charles Invitational

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Boston University Boston University Terriers 76
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 78
3 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 80
4 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 128
5 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 148
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 153
7 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 209
8 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 256 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green A 2 1 1 6 10 1 2 1 24 Charlotte West '28
Sophie Menyhart '27
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 5 4 2 5 3 3 3 5 30 Richard Kalich '26
Delanie Massenet '27
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 1 5 11 3 1 2 5 7 35 Olivia Lowthian '25 [1-8]
Shannon Gondoly '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Mikaela Williams '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 6 3 14 1 7 5 4 3 43 Emil Tullberg '25 [1-8]
Kate Johnson '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Emma Sharpe '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 11 11 6 7 2 6 1 2 46 Josh Sultanik '26 [1-2]
Buck Rathbun '28 [3-8]
Joy Kim '25 [1-2]
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen B 3 2 5 13 11 8 10 4 56 William Sargent '21
Evelyn Buxton '26
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green B 4 7 7 2 4 11 6 15 56 Ava Hurwitz '27 [1-4]
Will Eggena '27 [5-8]
Xander Dalke '27 [1-4]
Molly Peterson '28 [5-8]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 A 9 6 13 4 5 4 7 9 57 James Frady '28
Scott Senatore '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen A 7 10 8 8 12 10 9 8 72 Marshall Rodes '26
Keira Fowler '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 10 8 3 10 9 13 8 11 72 Isabella Cho '27
Alexander Rosen '28
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 12 13 4 11 8 12 11 10 81 Adrien Blanc '27
Katherine Bachmann '28
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 B 14 14 9 15 6 7 13 13 91 Devyn Weed '25
Cameron Mclean '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 A 15 9 10 9 14 9 14 14 94 Kathleen Hanson '25
Ian Peterson '28
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 B 16 16 16 14 15 16 16 6 115 Devon Valenta '26
Bella Gioseffi '27
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons B 8 12 15 12 16 15 15 12 125 MRP John O'Connell '28 [1-8]
Brett Tardie '25 [1-2]
Andrew Blagden '28 [3-4]
Grace Kokkotos '27 [5-8]
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons A 13 15 12 16 13 14 12 16 131 MRP Wilfred Hynes '26 [1-4]
Brett Tardie '25 [5-8]
Grace Kokkotos '27 [1-4]
Andrew Blagden '28 [5-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2019 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons11223355
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers22335566
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green33556677
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen7788991010
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 1889910101111
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 299101011111212
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies55667788
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks66778899

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons1010111112121414
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1111121214141515
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green1212141415151616
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen16161717181811
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 1171718181122
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 21818112233
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1414151516161717
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1515161617171818

Conditions — 09/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 62%  ·  Pressure 1010.1 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 78°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 73°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.0 kn
Gusts to 12.1 kn
From S (175°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine8.5 hrs Humidity62% Pressure1010.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Harvard: a favourites’ day (+0.07)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.09 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →