Peak Foliage

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 10 12 22
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 31 4 35
3 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 12 29 41
4 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 29 13 42
5 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 29 17 46
6 Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 15 34 49
7 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 30 22 52
8 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 19 41 60
9 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 31 29 60
10 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 27 41 68
11 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 40 39 79
12 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 47 48 95
13 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 5 50 47 97
14 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 51 53 104
15 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 61 53 114
16 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 7 62 64 126
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 1 5 3 1 10 Sam Harris '26
Scott Senatore '26
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 4 2 2 4 12 Cameron Frary '24
Greta Shuster '25
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 2 1 1 11 15 James Jagielski '25
Solomiiia Kachur '26
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 6 4 6 3 19 Genevieve Lau '25
Annie Tims '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 9 8 4 6 27 Brendan Obrien '27
Claire Komar '27
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 5 7 7 10 29 Rob Mailley '24
Xander Dalke '27
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 7 10 10 2 29 Andrew Powers '24 [1-3]
William Hurd '27 [4]
Ashley Breyer '24 [1-3]
Alasdair Mcdermott '26 [4]
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 11 3 8 8 30 Ted Richardsson '27
Amelia Fisher '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 3 14 5 9 31 Benjamin Wilkinson '26
Mridhula Subramanian '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 8 9 9 5 31 Sonja Krajewski '26
Jack Brennen '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 13 6 14 7 40 Talia Trigg '26
Weronika Wozny '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 10 11 13 13 47 Kathleen Hanson '25
Bella Gioseffi '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 5 12 12 12 14 50 Ethan Smits '26
Maryanne Ringuette '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 15 13 11 12 51 Andy Giaya '24
Julian Bokulich '27
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 16 15 15 15 61 Mitchel Soederberg '25
Maple Buescher '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 7 14 16 16 16 62 Benjamin Haddad '24
Andrew Von Glahn '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 1 1 1 4 Samuel Rooks '27
Isabella Cho '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 3 4 3 2 12 James Sullivan '25
Trixie Williams '26
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 3 4 4 13 Fritz Baldauf '24
Tatem Gee '27
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 4 5 5 3 17 Will Eggena '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 6 7 2 7 22 Lucas Wiatrowski '27
Autumn Horsey '27
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 5 8 10 6 29 Harry Stevenson '24
Maggie Forger '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 9 6 6 8 29 Devyn Weed '25
Peter Daugherty-Miller '25
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering Phoenix 10 2 DNS 5 34 Rohan Shah '27
Allysen Bell '24
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 13 10 7 9 39 William Procter '24
Christopher Fridlington '24
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 7 15 8 11 41 Isabelle Ouimet '26
Ruby Phillips '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 8 9 9 15 41 Cameron Mclean '26
Morgan Melo '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 5 11 14 12 10 47 Gavin Tucker '26
Alyssa Jones '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 6 12 13 11 12 48 Cameron Gesswin '24
Devon Valenta '26
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 14 12 14 13 53 Stephanie Charbonnier '27
Sander Katz '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 15 11 13 14 53 Maisey Jobson '26
Marisa Gottsche '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 7 16 DNS 15 16 64 Jacob Mitchell '26
Kirill Melnichak-Zhuravlev '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2010 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 11112
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 22223
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels3334
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green4445
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen99910
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds5556
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers6667
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 110101011
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 211111112
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 312121213
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 413131314
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 514141415
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 615151516
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 71616161
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies7778
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix8889

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 199910
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 210101011
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels11111112
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green12121213
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen1112
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds13131314
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers14141415
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 12223
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 23334
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 34445
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 45556
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 56667
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 67778
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 78889
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies15151516
Olin College of EngineeringOlin College of Engineering Phoenix1616161
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bates College Bates College Cameron Frary '24 Greta Shuster '25
Bobcats 1 Harry Stevenson '24 Maggie Forger '25
Bates College Bates College Mitchel Soederberg '25 Maple Buescher '25
Bobcats 2 Stephanie Charbonnier '27 Sander Katz '25
Connecticut College Connecticut College Andrew Powers '24 [1-3]
William Hurd '27 [4]
Ashley Breyer '24 [1-3]
Alasdair Mcdermott '26 [4]
Camels Fritz Baldauf '24 Tatem Gee '27
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Rob Mailley '24 Xander Dalke '27
Big Green Will Eggena '27
McGill University McGill University Genevieve Lau '25 Annie Tims '26
Redbirds Isabelle Ouimet '26 Ruby Phillips '27
Middlebury College Middlebury College Talia Trigg '26 Weronika Wozny '27
Panthers William Procter '24 Christopher Fridlington '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Benjamin Wilkinson '26 Mridhula Subramanian '25
Huskies Samuel Rooks '27 Isabella Cho '27
Olin College of Engineering Olin College of Engineering James Jagielski '25 Solomiiia Kachur '26
Phoenix Rohan Shah '27 Allysen Bell '24
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Andy Giaya '24 Julian Bokulich '27
Minutemen Maisey Jobson '26 Marisa Gottsche '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Sam Harris '26 Scott Senatore '26
Wildcats 1 James Sullivan '25 Trixie Williams '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Ted Richardsson '27 Amelia Fisher '26
Wildcats 2 Lucas Wiatrowski '27 Autumn Horsey '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Sonja Krajewski '26 Jack Brennen '25
Wildcats 3 Devyn Weed '25 Peter Daugherty-Miller '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Brendan Obrien '27 Claire Komar '27
Wildcats 4 Cameron Mclean '26 Morgan Melo '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Ethan Smits '26 Maryanne Ringuette '26
Wildcats 5 Gavin Tucker '26 Alyssa Jones '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Kathleen Hanson '25 Bella Gioseffi '27
Wildcats 6 Cameron Gesswin '24 Devon Valenta '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Benjamin Haddad '24 Andrew Von Glahn '26
Wildcats 7 Jacob Mitchell '26 Kirill Melnichak-Zhuravlev '24

Conditions — 10/14/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1007.0 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From WNW (297°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover86% Sunshine8.8 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1007.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at New Hampshire: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.20 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at New Hampshire by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (22 labelled days at New Hampshire).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →