Boston University '25
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 56.87 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.116 rating points from 13 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2024 | Boston University | 2.45 | 73.48 | 73.53 | 5 of 17 | 13 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.20 (fleet 3.06) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 15–27 (36%) as crew 16–25 (39%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 4 | 5–9 | 16–25 |
| Spring 2022 | 2 | 10–18 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 6 graded regattas (83 matches) the record is 31–52 against 28.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.0). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 11 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | 2025 Marchiando Trophy-Grey Regatta | crew | 2.71 | 3.31 | 2–19 | 1.2 | +0.60 | 0.4 | 32% |
| 2025-03-22 | 2025 Staake Trophy | crew | 2.66 | 2.86 | 9–6 | 8.5 | +0.20 | 0.1 | 50% |
| 2025-03-15 | Ivan Geiger Trophy 2025 | skipper | 2.44 | 1.95 | 5–9 | 6.6 | −0.49 | 0.5 | 87% |
| 2025-03-01 | McMerrick | crew | 2.44 | 5.44 | 5–0 | 2.7 | ≥+3.00 | 4.4 | 4% |
| 2022-03-26 | Boston University Team Race | skipper | 2.45 | 1.91 | 6–14 | 8.1 | −0.54 | 0.8 | 90% |
| 2022-03-12 | MIT Team Race Invite | skipper | 2.20 | 4.33 | 4–4 | 1.1 | +2.14 | 5.0 | 1% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Eastern National Semi Finals Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 10.7 | 2.86 |
| NEISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 3 | 9.3 | 2.98 |
| McMerrick | Crew | TR | 5 | 100% | — |
| Ivan Geiger Trophy 2025 | Skipper | TR | 14 | 36% | — |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 6.9 | 3.01 |
| Admiral’s Cup | Skipper | B | 12 | 5.9 | 3.46 |
| 2025 Staake Trophy | Crew | TR | 15 | 60% | — |
| 2025 Marchiando Trophy-Grey Regatta | Crew | TR | 21 | 10% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Urn Trophy/NEISA Women’s Fall Champs Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.9 | 3.13 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.3 | 2.43 |
| Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 9.4 | 3.00 |
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 13.0 | 2.66 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | A, B | 12 | 9.5 | 2.83 |
| The Hatch Brown Trophy 2024 | Skipper | A | 10 | 10.2 | 3.71 |
| Harry Anderson Jr. Regatta | Skipper | A | 11 | 12.8 | 2.60 |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Crew | A | 6 | 3.2 | +0.24 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's New England Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 9.8 | 2.78 |
| Wick Trophy Womens event Women's | Skipper | B | 3 | 2.7 | 3.88 |
| Western Women’s National Semi-finals Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 9.0 | 3.28 |
| Truxtun Umstead Regatta | Skipper | B | 10 | 8.0 | 2.53 |
| O’Toole Saturday FR | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.2 | 3.11 |
| Boston University Trophy FR | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.3 | 3.39 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | B | 9 | 7.8 | 3.06 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.7 | 3.20 |
| Women's ACC Round 1A Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 9.9 | 2.88 |
| The Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 10.8 | 2.23 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 10.7 | 1.80 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.9 | 4.24 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.8 | 2.94 |
| Mrs. Hurst Bowl Women's | Skipper | A | 5 | 12.0 | 2.30 |
| The Dark of Night | Skipper | A | 2 | 3.0 | 3.61 |
| 2024 Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.1 | 2.71 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| College Sailing Women's Eastern Semifinal Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 11.8 | 2.61 |
| Owen Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 6.8 | 3.03 |
| NEISA Women's Championship/Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.8 | 3.10 |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 7.8 | 2.56 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 13.9 | 2.02 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.7 | 3.56 |
| The Hood Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 10.4 | 3.04 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| St. Mary's College Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | A | 16 | 7.4 | 3.17 |
| College Sailing Women's Eastern Semifinals Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 9.3 | 3.15 |
| Rhody the Riveter Women's | Skipper | A | 6 | 2.2 | 2.94 |
| New England Dinghy Champs for the CG Alumni Bowl | Skipper | B | 2 | 14.0 | 2.25 |
| NEISA Women's Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.9 | 3.55 |
| MIT Team Race Invite | Skipper | TR | 8 | 50% | — |
| George Morris Trophy | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.0 | 3.34 |
| Boston University Team Race | Skipper | TR | 20 | 30% | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.6 | 2.81 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 2.4 | 4.38 |
| Women's ACC's Round 1B Women's | Skipper | B | 17 | 10.4 | 2.16 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Regatta Women's | Skipper | B | 13 | 9.7 | 2.40 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 8.0 | 3.10 |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 6.6 | 3.26 |
| The 2021 Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 8.8 | 2.79 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
