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Southern 5 Saturday

SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams B 1 1 2 1 3 8 Pierson Falk '28
John Mason '28
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 2 2 6 4 1 15 Jack Crager '27
Caroline Felser '28
Brown University Brown University Bears A 9 3 1 3 2 18 Daniel Van Heeckeren '26
Anna Steffen '25
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 10 4 5 2 5 26 Edward Herman '28
Demetry Spinola '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 3 9 7 7 4 30 Grant Smith '28
Ryan Tedeschi '28
Brown University Brown University Bears B 5 7 3 6 13 34 Charles Case '26
Mara Oancea '27
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams A 6 6 12 5 6 35 Emaline Ouellette '28
Emily Grevell '27
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 8 11 4 9 8 40 Ryan Petrush '27
Charlotte Tutt '28
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs A 4 8 10 10 11 43 Annette Limoges '25 [1]
Brendan Ballon '27 [2-5]
Brendan Ballon '27 [1]
Annette Limoges '25 [2-5]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 16 10 8 8 7 49 Kevin Mcneill '28
Hugo Langlais '28
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 13 5 9 11 15 53 Cole Capizzo '27
Gabriella-Marie Diez '28
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies A 7 12 14 16 10 59 Ryan Treat '27
Henry Hayden '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 14 14 13 12 9 62 Joseph Cataldo '28
Amelia Fisher '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 11 13 11 14 14 63 Gabrielle Ahitow '28
Kasia Piekielniak '29
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 12 15 15 15 12 69 Gavin Tucker '26
Varda Kotlyarsky '28
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies B 17 16 17 13 16 79 Priscilla Sawyer '25
Tanner Swanson '25
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 15 17 16 17 17 82 Toby Hamar '28
Stephanie Zajczenko '27
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs B 18 18 18 18 18 90 Ian Mccaffrey '25 [1-5]
Maya Palmer '26 [1-2, 5]
Lucas Camara '28 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11111
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies55555
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers22222
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats77777
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies33333
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams88888
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks44444
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs66666
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts99999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears1010101010
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies1414141414
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1111111111
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats1616161616
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1212121212
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1717171717
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks1313131313
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs1515151515
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818181818

Conditions — 04/05/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1027.0 hPa

Temperature

44°F
↑ 46°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.5 kn
avg  ·  max 13.0 kn
Gusts to 26.8 kn
From ESE (111°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.1 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1027.0 hPa Rain0.28 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a favourites’ day (+0.03)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.05 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →