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NEISA Fall Tournament

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 70
2 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 110
3 Bentley University Bentley University Falcons 113
4 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 123
5 Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges 163
6 Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers 202
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 5 1 2 2 2 1 1 2 4 3 23 Walter Chiles '26
Isabelle Vagell '26
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 1 2 1 1 5 6 2 3 1 6 28 Evan Tofolo '28
Luke Dubois '26
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 3 4 4 3 3 3 9 9 3 1 42 Cole Capizzo '27 [1-4, 7-10]
Zach Earnshaw '27 [5-6]
Gabriella-Marie Diez '28 [1-10]
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons A 4 6 3 7 1 8 4 8 5 7 53 John O'Connell '28
Isabel Walchli '28
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges A 7 DNF 7 10 7 2 3 1 2 2 54 Myles Hazen '26
Rebecca Yingling '28
Bentley University Bentley University Falcons B 2 3 9 8 4 7 5 5 7 10 60 Grace Kokkotos '27
Maren Daly '29
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen B 6 7 8 5 6 5 7 7 6 4 61 Jingyi Chen '29
Evelyn Buxton '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen A 8 5 5 9 8 4 6 4 8 5 62 Cole Perra '27 [1-10]
Keira Fowler '26 [1-2, 5-10]
Phoebe Thorrold '29 [3-4]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 11 9 6 4 11 9 10 6 10 11 87 Kate Adams '28 [1-6]
Aengus Onken '28 [7-10]
Caroline Meckel '28 [1-6]
Ellie Dripps '27 [7-10]
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers A 10 8 12 11 9 10 8 11 9 8 96 Neil Flynn '26
Conor Grew '26
Sacred Heart University Sacred Heart University Pioneers B 9 11 10 6 12 12 DNS DNS 11 9 106 Caige Kaessinger '28
Rodney Osumo '28
Brandeis University Brandeis University Judges B 12 10 11 12 10 11 11 10 BYE BYE 109 Isaac Hoffman '29
Dominic Qin '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons1122334455
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges2233445566
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen667788991010
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers3344556677
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers4455667788
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers5566778899

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bentley UniversityBentley University Falcons77889910101111
Brandeis UniversityBrandeis University Judges8899101011111212
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen121211223344
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers9910101111121211
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers1010111112121122
Sacred Heart UniversitySacred Heart University Pioneers11111212112233

Conditions — 10/25/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1027.3 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
2.6 kn
avg  ·  max 4.8 kn
Gusts to 10.3 kn
From SW (215°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover45% Sunshine9.4 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1027.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · NW 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Middlebury: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.30 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Middlebury by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Middlebury, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →