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The 26th Mrs. Hurst Bowl

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 70 29 99
2 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 39 63 102
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 40 65 105
4 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 40 72 112
5 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 86 34 120
6 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 62 69 131
7 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 85 77 162
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 87 75 162
9 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 90 90 180
10 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 109 71 180
11 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 74 107 181
12 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 101 91 192
13 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 88 107 195
14 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 116 112 228
15 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 132 141 273
16 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 149 158 307
17 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 163 164 327
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 5 5 10 2 1 3 1 4 7 39 Dorothy Mendelblatt '28
Julia Miller '26
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 3 3 1 4 1 14 2 8 3 1 40 Eva Ermlich '26
Zoe Grant '25
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 4 1 8 7 6 3 1 7 1 2 40 Sarah Young '25
Lilly Baker '27
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 9 4 6 5 5 5 5 4 6 13 62 Bella Casaretto '26
Faye Benjamin '25
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 7 13 11 2 10 13 7 2 2 3 70 Brooke Schmelz '25
Elliott Chalcraft '27
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 10 3 6 4 4 12 11 14 8 74 Kytalin Hendrickson '26
Erin Little '28
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 8 15 12 3 3 15 9 3 8 9 85 Katherine Mcnamara '26
Violet Martin '28
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 6 9 2 9 15 9 11 5 9 11 86 Katharine Doble '26
Savannah Young '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 11 12 10 1 8 2 13 13 5 12 87 Ella Hubbard '26
Kate Castleberry '28
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 2 15 11 9 12 6 6 7 15 88 Rebecca Schill '27
Luisa Louchheim '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 10 7 4 16 7 7 14 10 10 5 90 Haley Andreasen '25
Annabel De Alessi '25
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 13 8 13 14 12 8 8 9 12 4 101 Audrey Commerford '25
Lane Kaeyer '27
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears DSQ 11 9 8 11 16 4 15 11 6 109 Julia Conneely '26
Allison Nystrom '26
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 14 14 7 13 13 6 10 16 13 10 116 Ella Beauregard '25
Amelia Griffith '25
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 12 6 14 12 14 11 15 14 17 17 132 Izzy Wu-Karr '26 [1-6]
Natalie Fear '28 [7-10]
Madeleine Jarbeau '28 [1-6]
June Roe '28 [7-8]
Aurora Kreyche '25 [9-10]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 16 17 16 15 17 10 16 12 16 14 149 Penelope Weekes '25
Isabelle Vagell '26
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 15 16 17 17 16 17 17 17 15 16 163 Cecilia Muller '25
Beatrix Stewart-Stand '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 2 2 1 1 5 5 1 3 6 3 29 Lucy Brock '25
Mercedes Escandon '25
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 7 6 8 2 1 2 3 2 1 2 34 Laura Hamilton '27
Katherine Majette '27
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 1 3 8 10 9 9 10 2 10 63 Audrey Foley '28
Elle Sykes '27
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 10 5 6 4 14 8 5 1 7 5 65 Lucia Loosbrock '25
Lucinda Harley '27
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 9 3 10 3 7 11 8 13 4 1 69 Ava Hurwitz '27
Phoebe Lee '26
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 4 12 6 2 13 4 9 13 4 71 Laura Slovensky '25
Charlotte Mccarthy '25
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 1 3 8 5 10 4 3 10 12 11 6 72 Charlotte West '28 [1-4]
Olivia Drulard '27 [5-10]
Vivian Heitkoetter '27 [1-4]
Sudi Zhao '26 [5-10]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 13 11 4 5 3 7 2 7 9 14 75 Sophia Hubbard '28
Lilly Ladd '26
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 12 10 9 7 11 1 12 4 3 8 77 Sidney Moyer '27
Corinne Harrison '27
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 14 9 2 9 6 6 11 14 8 11 90 Meredith Broadus '25
Lilah Parker '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 15 7 13 8 10 7 8 5 13 91 Caitlin Derby '26
Alex Forrest '26
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 13 15 14 9 4 14 11 14 7 107 Sophie Brett '25 [1-8, 10]
Mairéad Reitzel '28 [9]
Mairéad Reitzel '28 [1-8, 10]
Maizie Bartlett '27 [9]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 11 14 11 11 12 RDG 13 5 10 9 107 Emaline Ouellette '28 [1-4]
Ariana Schwartz '27 [5-10]
Ursula Budd '27 [1-4]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 8 12 14 12 15 15 6 6 12 12 112 Jane Marvin '28
Simone Ford '29
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 15 7 13 15 13 12 16 17 17 16 141 Lilly Saffer '27 [1-6]
Viola Henry '26 [7-10]
Aurora Kreyche '25 [1-6]
Cecilia Roe '26 [7-8]
Madeleine Jarbeau '28 [9-10]
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 17 17 16 16 16 14 15 15 15 17 158 Talia Trigg '26 [1-10]
Madeleine Ewing '28 [1-4]
Weronika Wozny '27 [5-10]
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 16 16 15 164 Alex Anderson '26
Megan Burns '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears1122334455
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 12233445566
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 23344556677
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears141415151616171711
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4455667788
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 15566778899
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 2667788991010
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners77889910101111
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds991010111112121313
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers10101111121213131414
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8899101011111212
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies11111212131314141515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1515161617171122
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 112121313141415151616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 213131414151516161717
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts16161717112233
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs171711223344

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears1122334455
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 12233445566
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 23344556677
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears141415151616171711
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4455667788
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 15566778899
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green 2667788991010
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners77889910101111
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds991010111112121313
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers10101111121213131414
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers8899101011111212
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies11111212131314141515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1515161617171122
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 112121313141415151616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 213131414151516161717
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts16161717112233
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs171711223344
School / Team SkipperCrew
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Rebecca Schill '27 Luisa Louchheim '25
Polar Bears Sophie Brett '25 [1-8, 10]
Mairéad Reitzel '28 [9]		 Mairéad Reitzel '28 [1-8, 10]
Maizie Bartlett '27 [9]
Brown University Brown University Katharine Doble '26 Savannah Young '25
Bears 1 Laura Hamilton '27 Katherine Majette '27
Brown University Brown University Katherine Mcnamara '26 Violet Martin '28
Bears 2 Sidney Moyer '27 Corinne Harrison '27
Connecticut College Connecticut College Izzy Wu-Karr '26 [1-6]
Natalie Fear '28 [7-10]		 Madeleine Jarbeau '28 [1-6]
June Roe '28 [7-8]
Aurora Kreyche '25 [9-10]
Camels Lilly Saffer '27 [1-6]
Viola Henry '26 [7-10]		 Aurora Kreyche '25 [1-6]
Cecilia Roe '26 [7-8]
Madeleine Jarbeau '28 [9-10]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Sarah Young '25 Lilly Baker '27
Big Green 1 Charlotte West '28 [1-4]
Olivia Drulard '27 [5-10]		 Vivian Heitkoetter '27 [1-4]
Sudi Zhao '26 [5-10]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Bella Casaretto '26 Faye Benjamin '25
Big Green 2 Ava Hurwitz '27 Phoebe Lee '26
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Ella Beauregard '25 Amelia Griffith '25
Mariners Jane Marvin '28 Simone Ford '29
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Brooke Schmelz '25 Elliott Chalcraft '27
Engineers Lucy Brock '25 Mercedes Escandon '25
McGill University McGill University Cecilia Muller '25 Beatrix Stewart-Stand '27
Redbirds Alex Anderson '26 Megan Burns '27
Middlebury College Middlebury College Penelope Weekes '25 Isabelle Vagell '26
Panthers Talia Trigg '26 [1-10] Madeleine Ewing '28 [1-4]
Weronika Wozny '27 [5-10]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Eva Ermlich '26 Zoe Grant '25
Huskies Lucia Loosbrock '25 Lucinda Harley '27
Tufts University Tufts University Haley Andreasen '25 Annabel De Alessi '25
Jumbos 1 Meredith Broadus '25 Lilah Parker '26
Tufts University Tufts University Ella Hubbard '26 Kate Castleberry '28
Jumbos 2 Sophia Hubbard '28 Lilly Ladd '26
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Julia Conneely '26 Allison Nystrom '26
Bears Laura Slovensky '25 Charlotte Mccarthy '25
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Kytalin Hendrickson '26 Erin Little '28
Rams Emaline Ouellette '28 [1-4]
Ariana Schwartz '27 [5-10]		 Ursula Budd '27 [1-4]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Audrey Commerford '25 Lane Kaeyer '27
Catamounts Caitlin Derby '26 Alex Forrest '26
Yale University Yale University Dorothy Mendelblatt '28 Julia Miller '26
Bulldogs Audrey Foley '28 Elle Sykes '27

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Dense drizzle
Humidity 100%  ·  Pressure 1014.1 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.9 kn
avg  ·  max 13.6 kn
Gusts to 29.2 kn
From NNE (19°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity100% Pressure1014.1 hPa Rain0.65 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 4 kn · NE 12 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Dartmouth: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.11 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.06 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Dartmouth by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (34 labelled days at Dartmouth).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →