Fairfield Cup

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 133
2 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 147
3 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 215
4 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 219
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 219
6 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 221
7 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 240
8 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 243
9 Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 417
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags A 2 2 10 6 1 4 9 4 1 3 1 1 44 Nolan Cooper '25 [1-12]
Mike Streeter '23 [1-7]
Matthew Little '22 [8-12]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs A 3 1 1 1 5 3 1 2 9 1 3 17 47 Emily Lau '24 [1-12]
Em Tchorz '23 [1-7]
Lennox Gregoire '24 [8-12]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 1 4 5 4 2 8 10 3 2 15 2 3 59 Cameron Frary '24
Claudia Mabley '24
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen A 5 6 2 2 7 9 5 1 12 6 9 2 66 Timothy Burns '22
Dylan Dincer '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers A 6 8 3 5 4 5 2 5 7 7 11 5 68 Lucie Rochat '22
Patrick Stevenson '23
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks B 8 11 11 7 8 7 4 7 4 2 6 10 85 Molly Hanrahan '22
Tegan Tanner '23
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs B 4 3 8 3 12 1 8 11 8 8 13 7 86 Sam Rifkind-Brown '25 [1-7]
Beck Lorsch '25 [8-12]
Lennox Gregoire '24 [1-7]
Lucas Zheng '23 [8-12]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 13 7 6 9 11 2 11 8 3 4 4 12 90 John Van Zanten '25
Daniel Faivre '24
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags B 7 5 4 11 6 16 6 12 6 9 8 13 103 Andrew White '25
Anya Levine '23
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 11 DSQ 12 13 3 12 3 6 5 12 7 9 112 Sawyer Bouley '25
Alaina Vollmar '23
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 12 12 7 12 14 11 12 14 13 5 10 6 128 Elizabeth Amelotte '24
Charlie Kantor '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 14 10 15 8 10 6 14 10 14 11 15 4 131 Addison Stead '23 [1-2, 4-12]
No Show [3]
Daniel Stewart '25 [1-12]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks A 9 9 13 10 13 13 7 15 15 10 5 15 134 Olivia Lowthian '25
Caelan Haddock '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen B 15 15 9 16 9 10 13 13 11 14 16 8 149 Kate Myler '23
Siddharth Preetham '22
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 10 13 14 14 16 15 15 9 10 16 14 14 160 Kieran Small '24
Courtney Tally '23
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers B 16 14 16 15 15 14 16 17 16 13 12 11 175 Grace Hering '22
Maya Saterson '22
Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals A 17 16 17 17 DNF 17 17 16 17 17 17 16 203
Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals B BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE 214
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.150+0.15
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats111111111111
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags222222222222
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen666666666666
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers333333333333
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers444444444444
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks555555555555
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts777777777777
CardinalsCardinals Cardinals888888888888
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs999999999999

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats101010101010101010101010
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags111111111111111111111111
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen151515151515151515151515
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers121212121212121212121212
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers131313131313131313131313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks141414141414141414141414
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts161616161616161616161616
CardinalsCardinals Cardinals171717171717171717171717
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181818181818181818181818

Conditions — 10/23/2021 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 61%  ·  Pressure 1014.5 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 59°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.2 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From WNW (294°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine5.9 hrs Humidity61% Pressure1014.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn · SW 8 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Fairfield: an underdogs’ day (−0.08)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.28 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fairfield by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Fairfield, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →