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Salve Regina Saturday FR Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 18 13 31
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 28 27 55
3 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 33 24 57
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 51 55 106
5 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 58 54 112
6 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 64 63 127
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 113 46 159
8 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 42 118 160
9 University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 82 83 165
10 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 93 96 189
11 Minutemen Minutemen Minutemen 99 94 193
12 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 105 110 215
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 3 1 2 1 1 1 4 1 1 18 Zachary Severson '26
Emily Grevell '27
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 1 1 4 1 2 2 2 5 3 7 28 Emil Tullberg '25
Kate Johnson '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 4 2 2 4 3 8 5 1 2 2 33 Luke Kenahan '27
Luke Dubois '26
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 5 3 3 6 3 6 3 7 4 42 Jett Lindelof '27
Greta Shuster '25
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 7 5 6 5 7 4 2 6 3 51 Renato Korzinek '25
Marguerite Bowen '27
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts DNF 4 6 5 7 4 3 6 4 6 58 Greer Page '27
Ryan Thompson '26
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 7 6 7 7 4 5 7 8 8 5 64 Jane Matthews '26
Sawyer Obrien '27
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 8 8 9 9 8 10 10 7 5 8 82 Ryan Treat '27
Christopher Bullock '27
McGill University McGill University Redbirds DNF 10 8 8 11 6 8 10 9 10 93 Ziyue Zhou '27
Peter Wang '24
Minutemen Minutemen Minutemen 9 11 11 11 10 9 9 9 11 9 99
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers DNF 9 10 10 9 11 11 11 10 11 105 Robin Potter '25
Maya Singer '26
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 5 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 113 Sean Morrison '27
Charlotte Martinez '23
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 13 Sam Ingalls '24
Ella Gibson '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 3 1 3 2 3 3 2 4 2 1 24 Zach Earnshaw '27
Henry Kyburg-Abbott '27
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 2 3 2 3 2 1 5 3 3 3 27 Olivia Lowthian '25
Caelan Haddock '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 4 6 5 6 4 4 4 5 4 4 46 Tyler Winowiecki '27 [1-10]
Shannon Gondoly '25 [1-5]
Frances Donahoe '24 [6-10]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 5 4 7 5 5 6 3 7 7 5 54 Ryan Petrush '27
Mary Wallace '27
Boston University Boston University Terriers 6 5 4 4 8 5 6 6 5 6 55 Josh Sultanik '26 [1-5]
Danielle Bogacheva '27 [6-10]
Ada Ucar '27 [1-5]
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 8 7 6 7 6 7 7 2 6 7 63 Santiago Pastor '27
Morgan Martucci '27
University of Connecticut University of Connecticut Huskies 7 8 8 8 7 8 8 8 10 11 83 Jack Sullivan '28
Sarah Davis '26
Minutemen Minutemen Minutemen 10 9 9 11 10 9 10 9 8 9 94
McGill University McGill University Redbirds 9 10 10 10 9 12 9 10 9 8 96 Alex Anderson '26
Annie Tims '26
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 11 11 11 DNF 11 10 11 11 11 10 110 Annabelle Wyman '25
Weronika Wozny '27
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 12 DNF 12 9 DNF 11 12 12 12 12 118 Charlotte Maffie '25
Alice Maffie '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2015 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1111111111
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2222222222
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies10101010101010101010
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags4444444444
MinutemenMinutemen Minutemen11111111111111111111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers5555555555
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds6666666666
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers7777777777
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams13131313131313131313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 18888888888
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 29999999999
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts14141414141414141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1111111111
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers2222222222
University of ConnecticutUniversity of Connecticut Huskies10101010101010101010
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags4444444444
MinutemenMinutemen Minutemen11111111111111111111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers5555555555
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds6666666666
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers7777777777
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams13131313131313131313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 18888888888
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks 29999999999
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts14141414141414141414

Conditions — 03/30/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 56%  ·  Pressure 1005.1 hPa

Temperature

45°F
↑ 48°F   ↓ 37°F
Feels like 36°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
12.0 kn
avg  ·  max 15.3 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From W (269°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity56% Pressure1005.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Salve Regina: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Salve Regina by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (43 labelled days at Salve Regina).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →