Mass Maritime Invite

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 12 11 23
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 17 25 42
3 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 28 23 51
4 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 29 27 56
5 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 43 25 68
6 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 48 35 83
7 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 50 37 87
8 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 49 52 101
9 University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 47 64 111
10 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 40 74 114
11 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 56 60 116
12 Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 70 46 116
13 Williams College Williams College Ephs 59 67 126
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 2 3 3 1 1 12 Joshua Bartoszuk '25
Jack Honan '23
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 1 5 4 2 2 17 Grant Adam '23
Olivia Miller '25
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 6 4 7 1 6 4 28 Joshua Dillon '25
Felix Nizet '23
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 1 3 6 10 3 6 29 Wilson Kaznoski '24
Grace Gunsalus '24
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 4 11 13 2 5 5 40 Andy Leshaw '25
Hannah Hicks '25
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 5 5 1 8 10 DSQ 43 Sam Monaghan '24
Wyatt Fogg '23
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 11 6 10 6 4 10 47 Ian Mccaffrey '25 [1-6]
Katelyn Belmore '25 [1-3]
Alan Andonian '23 [4-6]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks RAF 13 2 9 7 3 48 Izaiah Farr '23
Ruby Hope '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 8 8 8 7 9 9 49 Nicholas Dreyer '25 [1, 4-6]
David Perez '23 [2-3]
Caleb Burt '25 [1, 4-6]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 7 12 11 5 8 7 50 Gregory Dillon '23
Garrett Moen '23
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 9 7 9 11 12 8 56 Timothy Burns '22
Jeremy Patrick '25
Williams College Williams College Ephs 12 9 4 12 11 11 59 Felix Nusbaum '25
Jesse Cohen '21
Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 10 10 12 13 13 12 70
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 1 1 2 2 4 11 Miles Williams '24
Ava Wilson '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 3 4 2 3 5 6 23 Adrian Winkelman '25
Tyler Meadows '25
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 4 4 6 7 25 Keller Morrison '25
Sarah Wong '25
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 5 6 7 1 1 5 25 Peter Taboada '25
Jack Denker '22
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 6 3 3 9 4 2 27 Nolan Cooper '25 [1-6]
Mike Streeter '23 [1-3]
Anastasia Mastrocola '23 [4-6]
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 8 7 11 5 3 1 35 Jack Leahy '25
Claire Buckley '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 7 5 9 6 7 3 37 Olivia Lowthian '25
Caelan Haddock '25
Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals 4 12 5 7 9 9 46
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 9 8 6 8 10 11 52 Kennard Macvaugh '22
Kaylee Mutch '22
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 12 9 10 10 11 8 60 Kate Myler '23
Siddharth Preetham '22
University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs 10 10 12 12 8 12 64 Jack Sullivan '23 [1-6]
Carissa Keung '23 [1-3]
Valexja Johnson '23 [4-5]
Andrew Graham '24 [6]
Williams College Williams College Ephs 11 13 8 13 12 10 67 Ariane Grossmann '22
Varya Kluev '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 13 11 13 11 13 13 74 Kolby Seibert '25
Logan O’Rourke '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.260+0.26
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears111333
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags222444
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen999111111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1333555
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2444666
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 1555777
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 2666888
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams111111131313
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks777999
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks888101010
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs101010121212
CardinalsCardinals Cardinals121212111
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs131313222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears222444
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags333555
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen101010121212
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1444666
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2555777
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 1666888
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies 2777999
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams121212111
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks888101010
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks999111111
University of Massachusetts at DartmouthUniversity of Massachusetts at Dartmouth Corsairs111111131313
CardinalsCardinals Cardinals131313222
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs111333

Conditions — 10/17/2021 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1004.6 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.5 kn
avg  ·  max 10.7 kn
Gusts to 21.6 kn
From WNW (293°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover9% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1004.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.04 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.06 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →