Northeastern University '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.15 (fleet 2.96) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.16 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 49–70 (41%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 3 | 18–14 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 3 | 12–20 | — |
| Spring 2022 | 4 | 19–36 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 10 graded regattas (119 matches) the record is 49–70 against 49.1 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.1). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 8 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-22 | 2025 Staake Trophy | skipper | 2.63 | 1.70 | 8–7 | 10.1 | −0.93 | 1.4 | 96% |
| 2025-03-15 | Ivan Geiger Trophy 2025 | skipper | 2.51 | 3.06 | 8–4 | 6.7 | +0.56 | 0.5 | 30% |
| 2025-03-08 | Camel Team Race | skipper | 2.51 | 1.60 | 2–3 | 3.0 | −0.91 | 0.7 | 93% |
| 2023-03-18 | Southern NE Team Race | skipper | 2.25 | 1.53 | 2–10 | 3.4 | −0.73 | 0.7 | 90% |
| 2023-03-11 | Wood Trophy Team Race | skipper | 2.17 | 3.53 | 9–5 | 5.7 | +1.36 | 3.2 | 3% |
| 2023-03-05 | Sharpe Trophy Team Race | skipper | 2.21 | 2.60 | 1–5 | 0.8 | +0.39 | 0.1 | 59% |
| 2022-04-09 | Mystic Lake TR | skipper | 1.94 | 1.79 | 5–9 | 5.4 | −0.15 | 0.0 | 70% |
| 2022-03-19 | Team Race Invite | skipper | 2.00 | 2.04 | 5–8 | 4.9 | +0.03 | 0.0 | 60% |
| 2022-03-12 | MIT Team Race Invite | skipper | 1.94 | 3.08 | 4–3 | 2.7 | +1.13 | 1.1 | 20% |
| 2022-03-05 | McMerrick Cup Team Race | skipper | 1.62 | 1.17 | 5–16 | 6.5 | −0.45 | 0.5 | 86% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | B | 10 | 4.3 | 3.08 |
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | B | 12 | 7.1 | 3.47 |
| Open Eastern Semi Finals | Skipper | B | 8 | 14.0 | 2.12 |
| NEISA Open FR Champs/Coast Guard Alumni Bowl | Skipper | B | 12 | 10.6 | 2.91 |
| Ivan Geiger Trophy 2025 | Skipper | TR | 14 | 57% | — |
| Camel Team Race | Skipper | TR | 8 | 50% | — |
| Admiral’s Cup | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.0 | 3.77 |
| 2025 Staake Trophy | Skipper | TR | 15 | 53% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 14.4 | 2.14 |
| Schell Trophy NEISA Open Championship | Skipper | B | 13 | 12.3 | 2.51 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | B | 13 | 5.6 | 3.76 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1A | Skipper | B | 8 | 12.9 | 2.55 |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | B | 11 | 11.6 | 2.29 |
| The Hatch Brown Trophy 2024 | Skipper | A | 10 | 11.2 | 3.43 |
| Harry Anderson Jr. Regatta | Skipper | A | 12 | 13.2 | 2.61 |
| The 33rd Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | B | 13 | 8.5 | 3.25 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Western Open National Semi-Finals | Skipper | B | 15 | 12.7 | 2.77 |
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 3.5 | 3.71 |
| Truxtun Umstead Regatta | Skipper | B | 10 | 10.0 | 1.81 |
| NEISA Open Dinghy Championship/CG Alumni Bowl | Skipper | B | 9 | 10.9 | 2.88 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 11.3 | 3.12 |
| Open ACCs Round 1B | Skipper | B | 14 | 12.2 | 3.02 |
| The Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 13.7 | 2.48 |
| Harry Anderson Jr Regatta | Skipper | B | 9 | 11.7 | 2.79 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 14.5 | 2.96 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | B | 4 | 12.5 | 2.34 |
| Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | B | 14 | 10.4 | 2.76 |
| The 82nd Professor Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 11.5 | 2.88 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Wood Trophy Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 64% | — |
| Southern NE Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 17% | — |
| Sharpe Trophy Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 29% | — |
| Open New England Fleet Race Championship | Skipper | A | 6 | 14.0 | 2.60 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 8.4 | 2.51 |
| Connecticut Valley Dinghy Championship Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 8.4 | 2.56 |
| 85th Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup | Skipper | B | 14 | 13.0 | 2.56 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 14.8 | 2.05 |
| Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 14.2 | 2.19 |
| Rudi Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 7 | 9.9 | 2.45 |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.5 | 2.43 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.0 | 2.17 |
| The Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | B | 10 | 14.3 | 2.16 |
| Harry Anderson Jr. Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 14.2 | 2.30 |
| 31st Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | C | 6 | 9.2 | 2.79 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Team Race Invite | Skipper | TR | 13 | 38% | — |
| Mystic Lake TR | Skipper | TR | 14 | 36% | — |
| MIT Team Race Invite | Skipper | TR | 8 | 62% | — |
| McMerrick Cup Team Race | Skipper | TR | 21 | 24% | — |
| J70 Invite #3 Keelboat | Crew | A | 14 | 3.8 | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Tufts Invitational | Skipper | A | 6 | 8.0 | 2.65 |
| The Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 15.8 | 1.81 |
| Mass Maritime Invite | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.7 | 2.47 |
| Lark Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.7 | 2.07 |
| Great Herring Pond Open | Skipper | B | 12 | 3.7 | 2.91 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
