Central Series 1

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 8 8 16
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 15 7 22
3 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 15 17 32
4 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 19 24 43
5 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 39 27 66
6 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 32 36 68
7 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 33 37 70
8 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 40 30 70
9 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 31 45 76
10 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 43 54 97
11 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 55 45 100
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 1 2 1 1 3 8 Nils Tullberg '23
Olivia Lowthian '25
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 2 1 4 6 2 15 Liam Lawless '25
Hannah Fay '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 6 3 2 3 1 15 Anthony Purcell '24
Brigette Alves '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 4 4 5 2 4 19 James Sullivan '25
Martin Keene '23
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 10 6 3 4 8 31 Norman Walker '24
James Broderick '23
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 5 5 7 9 6 32 Will Rudaz '22
Kathleen Hanson '25
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 3 9 6 8 7 33 Kristin Hess '22
Margaret Myers-Aldous '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 9 7 8 5 10 39 Kennard Macvaugh '22
Hannah Hicks '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 7 8 10 10 5 40 Kate Myler '23 [1-3, 5]
Margaret Buswick '22 [4]
Margaret Buswick '22 [1-3, 5]
Kate Myler '23 [4]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 8 10 9 7 9 43 Gray Dinsel '25
Oliver Rhee '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 11 11 11 11 11 55 Sarah Barth '25 [1-3]
Ariana Schreibman '23 [4-5]
Ariana Schreibman '23 [1-3]
Sarah Barth '25 [4-5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 1 2 1 2 1 7 Adrian Winkelman '25
Kyle Fitzgerald '24
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 2 1 2 1 2 8 Molly Hanrahan '22
Garrett Moen '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 5 3 3 3 3 17 Spencer Asofsky '25
Alden Coldreck '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 4 7 4 4 5 24 Clayton Greig '22
Emily Zaleski '22
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 3 5 5 6 8 27 Kennard Macvaugh '22
Hannah Hicks '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 6 6 9 5 4 30 Andy Giaya '24
Natalie Koopman '23
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 9 4 8 8 7 36 Robert Caldwell '25
Maya Feldman '23
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 7 8 6 10 6 37 Rose Von Eckartsberg '25
Morgan Bittmann '24
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 8 9 10 9 9 45 Robert Houde '23
Kolby Seibert '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 10 10 7 7 11 45 Ozel Yilmazel '25 [1-3]
Dylan Dincer '25 [4-5]
Dylan Dincer '25 [1-3]
Ozel Yilmazel '25 [4-5]
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 11 11 11 11 10 54 Charlotte Maffie '25
Olivia Demerath '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.260+0.26
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1111313
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 177799
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 28881010
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 122233
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 213131344
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 19991212
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 210101011
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies33366
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams12121222
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks66688
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves44477

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats22233
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 18881010
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 29991212
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 113131344
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 233366
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 110101011
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 212121222
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies44477
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1111313
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks77799
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves66688

Conditions — 03/20/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1005.2 hPa

Temperature

55°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 10.4 kn
Gusts to 20.0 kn
From SSW (209°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1005.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a favourites’ day (+0.02)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.14
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.41 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →