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O'Toole Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 44 37 81
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 61 55 116
3 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 44 80 124
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 83 41 124
5 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 93 51 144
6 Brown University Brown University Bears 76 91 167
7 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 83 123 206
8 Catamounts Catamounts Catamounts 117 113 230
9 Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 97 138 235
10 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 130 123 253
11 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 162 139 301
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 2 1 2 5 7 2 2 1 7 6 1 2 2 2 2 44 Tyler Egeli '24
Jewelnguyen Huynh '23
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 3 1 4 3 1 4 2 4 1 2 5 3 1 6 44 Miles Williams '24
Katie Coughlin '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 1 7 6 2 1 4 6 5 2 2 5 3 10 4 3 61 Adrien Bellanger '25 [1-8]
Connor Rosow '24 [9-15]
Matthew Caplan '25 [1-8]
Brown University Brown University Bears 6 5 7 10 4 3 1 3 1 8 8 4 5 7 4 76 Grant Adam '23 [1-15]
Spencer Dellenbaugh '23 [1-8]
Lucian Sharpe '24 [9-15]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 5 4 4 3 5 10 3 7 3 5 7 7 6 6 8 83 Meredith Broadus '25
Annabel De Alessi '25
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 8 6 5 6 2 7 10 10 8 7 3 1 4 5 1 83 Ted Lutton '24 [1-3, 9-15]
Jack Valentino '22 [4-8]
Maggie Forger '25 [1-3, 9-15]
Claudia Mabley '24 [4-8]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 2 3 7 9 8 7 4 10 10 9 6 1 9 5 93 Emil Tullberg '25
Shannon Gondoly '25
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 7 9 8 1 6 5 5 8 9 3 4 10 8 3 11 97 Nolan Cooper '25 [1-15]
Anastasia Mastrocola '23 [1-8]
John Ambery '25 [9-15]
Catamounts Catamounts Catamounts 10 10 9 8 10 9 9 6 6 4 6 8 7 8 7 117
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 9 8 11 9 8 6 8 9 5 9 10 9 9 10 10 130 Andy Leshaw '25
Jordan Hanna '23
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 11 11 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 9 162 Lauren Miller '22 [1-9]
James Sullivan '25 [10-15]
Emily Zaleski '22 [1-9]
Clayton Greig '22 [10-15]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 1 5 6 6 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 1 37 Jonathan Riley '23
Halle Peterlin '24
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 1 5 3 3 1 3 2 1 4 3 3 4 5 1 2 41 Marina Garrido '25
Adam Larzelere '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 5 3 2 1 7 5 1 6 3 2 4 6 1 2 3 51 Olivia Lowthian '25
Peter Cronin '22
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 3 4 6 2 2 1 4 4 6 4 2 2 6 5 4 55 Niall Sheridan '23 [1-8]
Madeline Simms '23 [9-15]
Sara Morrison '23 [1-8]
Cindy Wang '25 [9-15]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1 4 2 1 5 8 8 6 5 2 6 6 3 8 4 DNS 80 John Van Zanten '25
Jillian Harrington '23
Brown University Brown University Bears 9 11 4 8 9 7 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 6 6 91 Ali Zaidi '24 [1-8]
Keller Morrison '25 [9-15]
Catamounts Catamounts Catamounts 8 10 8 4 11 9 8 7 7 7 8 10 4 7 5 113
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 6 7 7 9 4 10 10 11 9 8 7 8 10 10 7 123 Harry Stevenson '24 [1-15]
Greta Shuster '25 [1-12]
Maggie Forger '25 [13-15]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2 7 6 9 11 5 4 7 8 8 10 9 11 9 11 8 123 Christopher King '22
Logan O’Rourke '24
Fairfield University Fairfield University Stags 11 9 11 10 10 6 11 9 10 9 10 7 7 9 9 138 Lauren Gasek '22
Matthew Little '22
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 10 8 10 7 3 11 9 10 11 11 11 9 11 8 10 139 Will Rudaz '22 [1-15]
Kathleen Hanson '25 [1-9]
Vincent (Vinny) Pallotto '23 [10-15]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.290+0.29
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats181818171717161616151515141414
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears171717161616151515141414131313
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags161616151515141414131313121212
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1151515141414131313121212111111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2141414131313121212111111101010
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats101010999888181818171717
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams999888181818171717161616
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks131313121212111111101010999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1121212111111101010999888
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2111111101010999888181818
CatamountsCatamounts Catamounts888181818171717161616151515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats181818171717161616151515141414
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears171717161616151515141414131313
Fairfield UniversityFairfield University Stags161616151515141414131313121212
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 1151515141414131313121212111111
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 2141414131313121212111111101010
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats101010999888181818171717
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams999888181818171717161616
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks131313121212111111101010999
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1121212111111101010999888
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 2111111101010999888181818
CatamountsCatamounts Catamounts888181818171717161616151515

Conditions — 04/23/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 51%  ·  Pressure 1027.0 hPa

Temperature

53°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 48°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 18.1 kn
From SW (235°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity51% Pressure1027.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 7 kn* · NE 10 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Mass Maritime: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.14 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Mass Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (46 labelled days at Mass Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →