University of Rhode Island '23
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keelboat | 1.29 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 46 | Spring 2023 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.28 (fleet 3.13) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 20–31 (39%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 4 | 20–31 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (51 matches) the record is 20–31 against 16.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.6). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-01 | The 40th Grey Lynne Marchiando Team Races | skipper | 2.55 | 2.39 | 2–12 | 2.3 | −0.16 | 0.0 | 70% |
| 2023-03-25 | Staake Trophy | skipper | 2.34 | 3.36 | 13–7 | 9.1 | +1.02 | 2.9 | 4% |
| 2023-03-18 | Southern NE Team Race | skipper | 2.30 | 2.21 | 4–8 | 4.2 | −0.08 | 0.0 | 67% |
| 2023-03-05 | Thames River Team Race | skipper | 2.19 | 2.50 | 1–4 | 0.8 | +0.31 | 0.0 | 64% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Thames River Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 60% | — |
| Staake Trophy | Skipper | TR | 20 | 65% | — |
| Southern NE Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 33% | — |
| Southern Collegiate Offshore Regatta - PHRF A Keelboat | Crew | A | 4 | 2.5 | — |
| College Sailing Open Western Semifinal | Skipper | B | 2 | 14.0 | 2.41 |
| College Sailing Dinghy National Championship | Skipper | B | 3 | 16.3 | 1.90 |
| Port of LA Harbor Cup Keelboat | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.5 | 0.95 |
| Open New England Fleet Race Championship | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.3 | 3.13 |
| 85th Boston Dinghy Club Challenge Cup | Skipper | C | 14 | 9.8 | 3.04 |
| The 40th Grey Lynne Marchiando Team Races | Skipper | TR | 14 | 14% | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 8.5 | 3.95 |
| Schell Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.3 | 3.38 |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.5 | 4.06 |
| The Hatch Brown Trophy | Skipper | C | 1 | 6.0 | — |
| 31st Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | C | 6 | 10.3 | 2.36 |
| 2022 McMillan Cup Keelboat | Skipper | A | 4 | 1.5 | — |
| 2022 Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Skipper | A | 7 | 4.9 | 0.64 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Spring Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 16 | 4.8 | 2.89 |
| Southern 5 Fleet Race/Ewenson Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 7.1 | -0.08 |
| Southern Collegiate Offshore Regatta - PHRF A Keelboat | Reserve | A | 2 | 2.5 | — |
| O'Toole Trophy | Skipper | B | 15 | 2.5 | 2.82 |
| J-70 Invite #1 Keelboat | Skipper | A | 13 | 5.9 | -0.32 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Shields Trophy Regatta Keelboat | Crew | A | 4 | 3.5 | — |
| Mt. Hope Bay Invite | Crew | A | 2 | 6.0 | — |
| 2021 McMillan Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 5 | 2.8 | — |
| Lark Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.0 | 3.04 |
| Harvard Invitational | Skipper | A | 10 | 9.8 | 1.55 |
| 2021 Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 5 | 2.8 | — |
| Spring 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| J70 Invite #3 Keelboat | Skipper | A | 7 | 6.1 | -0.53 |
| J-70 Invite #1 Keelboat | Skipper | A | 7 | 4.4 | 0.49 |
| Fall 2019 Team page Season | |||||
| McMillan Cup 2019 Keelboat | Crew | A | 7 | 3.7 | — |
| Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 5 | 5.2 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Jonathan Riley |  Old Rochester RHS |
'19 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
