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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 63 49 112
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 67 55 122
3 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 49 78 127
4 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 47 98 145
5 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 91 56 147
6 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 79 71 150
7 Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 83 91 174
8 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 128 57 185
9 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 90 99 189
10 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 80 129 209
11 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 147 82 229
12 George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 96 133 229
13 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 115 128 243
14 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 143 145 288
15 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 167 165 332
16 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 173 180 353
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 12 2 2 2 3 7 4 7 1 1 5 1 47 Stephan Baker '26
Elle Sykes '27
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 7 1 5 6 2 3 1 2 8 4 7 3 49 Teddy Nicolosi '24
Ashley Highland '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 5 7 12 3 13 1 3 5 3 8 1 2 63 Oliver Stokke '26
Claire Buckley '25
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 3 8 4 11 8 2 4 9 3 2 10 67 Leyton Borcherding '25
Menasha Leport '25
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 10 11 3 5 10 5 9 6 5 2 6 7 79 Mitchell Callahan '26
Alexandra Dorofeev '25
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 8 4 1 6 11 8 10 2 14 8 BKD 80 Patrick Dolan '25
Kristen Healy '24
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 2 5 1 7 1 10 7 11 10 9 11 9 83 James Paul '23
Vivian Heitkoetter '27
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 8 10 6 14 12 6 6 8 7 6 3 4 90 Tyler Nash '26
Sadie Thomas '25
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 6 15 10 13 4 2 13 1 4 5 13 5 91 Drew Mastovsky '26
Ruby Hope '25
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 15 4 11 8 5 4 5 3 13 12 10 6 96 Tyler Wood '26 [1-12]
Annabelle O'Bryan '24 [1-8, 11-12]
Nick Lopez '26 [9-10]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 14 9 7 10 7 13 10 9 6 10 9 11 115 Emil Tullberg '25
Frances Donahoe '24
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 9 6 15 15 8 15 16 13 12 7 4 8 128 Olin Guck '26
Ursula Budd '27
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 13 13 14 12 9 9 11 14 11 13 12 12 143 Ben Hosford '25
Rebecca Runyan '25
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 4 12 BKD BKD 15 12 12 15 14 11 14 14 147 Fritz Baldauf '24 [1-6, 9-10]
William Hurd '27 [7-8, 11-12]
Andrew Selian '27 [1-6, 9-12]
Finley Regan '27 [7-8]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 11 14 13 11 14 14 15 12 16 16 15 16 167 Skylor Sweet '26 [1-8]
Izzy Wu-Karr '26 [9-12]
Sophia Rey '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Alasdair Mcdermott '26 [5-6]
Winni Opel '26 [9-12]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 16 16 9 9 16 16 14 16 15 15 16 15 173 Brendan Smucker '25
Jeppe Nielsen '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 6 5 2 10 2 3 5 4 2 6 2 2 49 Mathieu Dale '25
Michaela Odonnell '24
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 2 4 2 3 7 6 3 6 5 3 12 55 Mason Stang '25
Catherine Morrissette '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 1 1 1 1 9 9 7 2 1 2 13 9 56 Jack Roman '26
Carter Sheehan '27
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 9 7 7 7 1 1 1 5 7 3 8 1 57 Declan Botwinick '25
Vanessa Reid '26
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 5 8 13 8 8 4 3 1 4 1 9 7 71 Robby Meek '27
Kathleen Downey '24
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 8 3 8 13 7 6 4 6 3 11 6 3 78 Mathias Reimer '27
Ariana Borut '27
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 3 10 10 5 6 2 2 9 5 7 12 11 82 Henry Scholz '27
Vivian Smith '27
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College Big Green 10 4 11 3 5 8 14 7 10 8 5 6 91 Oliver Hurwitz '25
Alexandra Pierce '25
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 2 11 12 12 4 4 11 9 8 12 10 1 4 98 Alex Adams '26
Julia Miller '26
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 7 6 BKD BKD 13 10 12 10 9 4 7 5 99 Henry Lee '24
Lily Moore '26
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 16 11 9 14 10 5 8 14 8 14 11 8 128 Olivia Lowthian '25 [1-12]
Caelan Haddock '25 [1-6, 11-12]
Charlotte Martinez '23 [7-10]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 13 6 9 12 13 13 12 14 13 10 10 129 Beckett Kumler '24 [1-4, 9-12]
Peter Lobaugh '24 [5-8]
Bella Rabeni '24 [1-4, 9-12]
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 14 9 3 6 11 14 11 13 13 9 15 15 133 Oscar Macgillivray '24
Ian Milko '26
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 12 15 14 12 15 15 10 11 11 12 4 14 145 Brooks Turcotte '26
Nicholas Cunha '27
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 13 14 5 11 14 12 16 16 16 16 16 16 165 Duncan Craine '26 [1-6]
Lilly Saffer '27 [7-12]
Madeline Synnestvedt '27 [1-6]
Alasdair Mcdermott '26 [7-12]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 15 16 15 15 16 16 15 15 15 15 14 13 180 Brandon Depalma '24
Nicholas Norman '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (55 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears11335577991111
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 12244668810101212
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 23355779911111313
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green446688101012121414
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers557799111113131515
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams66881010121214141616
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries779911111313151511
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson88101012121414161622
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers111113131515113355
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 11313151511335577
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 21414161622446688
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1991111131315151133
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 210101212141416162244
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks121214141616224466
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs 115151133557799
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs 21616224466881010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears2244668810101212
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 13355779911111313
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 2446688101012121414
Dartmouth CollegeDartmouth College Big Green557799111113131515
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers66881010121214141616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams779911111313151511
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries88101012121414161622
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson991111131315151133
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers121214141616224466
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 11414161622446688
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 215151133557799
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 110101212141416162244
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2111113131515113355
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1313151511335577
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs 11616224466881010
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs 211335577991111
School / Team SkipperCrew
Brown University Brown University Leyton Borcherding '25 Menasha Leport '25
Bears Mason Stang '25 Catherine Morrissette '24
Connecticut College Connecticut College Fritz Baldauf '24 [1-6, 9-10]
William Hurd '27 [7-8, 11-12]		 Andrew Selian '27 [1-6, 9-12]
Finley Regan '27 [7-8]
Camels 1 Henry Scholz '27 Vivian Smith '27
Connecticut College Connecticut College Skylor Sweet '26 [1-8]
Izzy Wu-Karr '26 [9-12]		 Sophia Rey '26 [1-4, 7-8]
Alasdair Mcdermott '26 [5-6]
Winni Opel '26 [9-12]
Camels 2 Duncan Craine '26 [1-6]
Lilly Saffer '27 [7-12]		 Madeline Synnestvedt '27 [1-6]
Alasdair Mcdermott '26 [7-12]
Dartmouth College Dartmouth College James Paul '23 Vivian Heitkoetter '27
Big Green Oliver Hurwitz '25 Alexandra Pierce '25
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Brendan Smucker '25 Jeppe Nielsen '27
Panthers Brandon Depalma '24 Nicholas Norman '26
Fordham University Fordham University Patrick Dolan '25 Kristen Healy '24
Rams Beckett Kumler '24 [1-4, 9-12]
Peter Lobaugh '24 [5-8]		 Bella Rabeni '24 [1-4, 9-12]
George Washington University George Washington University Tyler Wood '26 [1-12] Annabelle O'Bryan '24 [1-8, 11-12]
Nick Lopez '26 [9-10]
Revolutionaries Oscar Macgillivray '24 Ian Milko '26
Harvard University Harvard University Mitchell Callahan '26 Alexandra Dorofeev '25
Crimson Robby Meek '27 Kathleen Downey '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Oliver Stokke '26 Claire Buckley '25
Hawks 1 Mathieu Dale '25 Michaela Odonnell '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Drew Mastovsky '26 Ruby Hope '25
Hawks 2 Jack Roman '26 Carter Sheehan '27
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Ben Hosford '25 Rebecca Runyan '25
Privateers Brooks Turcotte '26 Nicholas Cunha '27
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Emil Tullberg '25 Frances Donahoe '24
Seahawks Olivia Lowthian '25 [1-12] Caelan Haddock '25 [1-6, 11-12]
Charlotte Martinez '23 [7-10]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Tyler Nash '26 Sadie Thomas '25
Rams 1 Henry Lee '24 Lily Moore '26
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Olin Guck '26 Ursula Budd '27
Rams 2 Declan Botwinick '25 Vanessa Reid '26
Yale University Yale University Teddy Nicolosi '24 Ashley Highland '27
Bulldogs 1 Mathias Reimer '27 Ariana Borut '27
Yale University Yale University Stephan Baker '26 Elle Sykes '27
Bulldogs 2 Alex Adams '26 Julia Miller '26

Conditions — 09/30/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1020.7 hPa

Temperature

61°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 58°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.3 kn
avg  ·  max 13.8 kn
Gusts to 27.2 kn
From NNE (13°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1020.7 hPa Rain0.13 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 13 kn · N 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.16 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →