U. S. Coast Guard Academy '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.19 (fleet 3.01) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 29–36 (45%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 13–21 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 2 | 11–11 | — |
| Spring 2022 | 1 | 5–4 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (65 matches) the record is 29–36 against 25.4 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.6). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | Jumbo Team Race | skipper | 2.52 | 3.30 | 9–11 | 6.5 | +0.78 | 1.5 | 12% |
| 2025-03-15 | Ivan Geiger Trophy 2025 | skipper | 2.41 | 1.82 | 4–10 | 5.7 | −0.59 | 0.7 | 90% |
| 2024-03-23 | Admiral Moore Open Team Race | skipper | 2.24 | 2.71 | 3–2 | 2.5 | +0.47 | 0.2 | 50% |
| 2024-03-16 | Ivan Geiger Team Race | skipper | 2.08 | 1.97 | 8–9 | 8.3 | −0.11 | 0.0 | 68% |
| 2022-03-19 | The Ivan Geiger Team Race Regatta | skipper | 1.43 | 2.79 | 5–4 | 2.3 | +1.37 | 2.7 | 5% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Jumbo Team Race | Skipper | TR | 20 | 45% | — |
| Ivan Geiger Trophy 2025 | Skipper | TR | 14 | 29% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Sherman Hoyt Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.8 | 3.37 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 8 | 4.8 | 3.72 |
| Coast Guard Invite | Skipper | A | 3 | 14.3 | 1.24 |
| Bears Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.8 | 2.96 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | A | 13 | 5.1 | 3.51 |
| NEISA Open Dinghy Championship/CG Alumni Bowl | Skipper | B | 5 | 11.8 | 2.59 |
| Ivan Geiger Team Race | Skipper | TR | 17 | 47% | — |
| Admiral Moore Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 8 | 38% | — |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | A | 9 | 11.7 | 2.40 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 11.0 | 2.62 |
| Hood Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 12.9 | 2.50 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.3 | 3.32 |
| Captain Hurst Bowl | Skipper | A | 12 | 13.0 | 2.57 |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale FJ Regatta | Skipper | A | 6 | 11.7 | 2.27 |
| Rudi Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 13 | 11.3 | 2.02 |
| The Hood Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 12.0 | 2.87 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 6.5 | 1.81 |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Southern 5 Fleet Race/Ewenson Trophy | Skipper | B | 5 | 8.2 | 1.11 |
| Owen, Mosbacher and Knapp Trophies | Skipper | B | 12 | 5.6 | 0.08 |
| The Ivan Geiger Team Race Regatta | Skipper | TR | 21 | 57% | — |
| Connecticut Valley Dinghy Championship Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 14.5 | 1.22 |
| Charleston Spring | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.1 | 1.82 |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Sister Ester | Skipper | B | 8 | 11.8 | 1.61 |
| Salt Pond Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 10.3 | 1.27 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 4 | 12.0 | 1.86 |
| The Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 17.1 | 0.94 |
| Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 9.2 | 2.50 |
| Mt. Hope Bay Invite | Skipper | B | 11 | 5.5 | 2.62 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
