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# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 11 11
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 12 12
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 17 17
4 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 21 21
5 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 23 23
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 23 23
7 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 23 23
8 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 29 29
9 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 37 37
10 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 37 37
11 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 41 41
12 Williams College Williams College Ephs 2 49 49
13 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 54 54
14 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 59 59
15 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 60 60
16 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 61 61
17 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 70 70
18 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 72 72
19 Williams College Williams College Ephs 1 75 75
20 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 81 81
21 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 1 84 84
22 Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 2 91 91
23 University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 94 MRP 94 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 3 5 1 2 11 Wyatt Bischoff '27
Margaret Klein '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 5 3 3 1 12 Adam Larzelere '25
Thomas Mazzeo '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 1 4 9 3 17 Adrien Bellanger '25
Nicole Morikawa '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 6 1 10 4 21 Marina Garrido '25
Nicolas Echarte '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 2 6 7 8 23 Blake Vogel '26
Cody Lamoreux '27
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 4 2 11 6 23 Matthew Wallace '25
Sean Beaver '27
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 8 8 2 5 23 Kurt Stuebe '27
William Eykyn '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 7 9 6 7 29 Gus Macaulay '27
Eloise Goedkoop '27
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 9 14 4 10 37 Cooper Smith '27
Ryan Thompson '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 10 10 5 12 37 Reddin Kehrli '27
Stefano Chiampo '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 13 7 8 13 41 Annecy Kagan '26
Michael Salvatore '26
Williams College Williams College Ephs 2 11 12 12 14 49 Felix Nusbaum '25
Caleb Ockman '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 12 17 16 9 54 Greta Traver '27
Harry Kaya Prager '25
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 18 11 15 15 59 Jake Lacoche '26
Julia Cotsonas '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 19 16 14 11 60 Ella Towner '27
Connor Corbett '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 14 13 18 16 61 Lucas Wiatrowski '27
Brendan Obrien '27
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 16 15 19 20 70 Andy Giaya '24
Marshall Rodes '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 15 21 17 19 72 Devyn Weed '25
Amelia Fisher '26
Williams College Williams College Ephs 1 17 20 20 18 75 Rem Johannknecht '26
James Burge '24
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 20 18 22 21 81 Ethan Smits '26
Maryanne Ringuette '26
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 1 22 19 21 22 84 Sara Beth Bouchard '24
Sophia Morgan '25
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 2 23 22 23 23 91 Benjamin Siegel '26
Aleksandra Jacewicz '25
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 21 23 13 17 94 MRP Angelina Papa '26
Cole Perra '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (40 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 112121313
University of Massachusetts at AmherstUniversity of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 213131515
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 115151616
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 216161717
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 317171818
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 418181919
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 11122
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1010101111
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 1111111212
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 22233
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 33344
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 44455
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 55566
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 66677
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 77788
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 88899
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 9991010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 119192020
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 220202121
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals 121212222
Wesleyan UniversityWesleyan University Cardinals 222222323
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs 123232424
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs 2242411
SchoolTeam SkipperCrew
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 Matthew Wallace '25 Sean Beaver '27
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 10 Greta Traver '27 Harry Kaya Prager '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 11 Reddin Kehrli '27 Stefano Chiampo '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 Wyatt Bischoff '27 Margaret Klein '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 Kurt Stuebe '27 William Eykyn '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 4 Marina Garrido '25 Nicolas Echarte '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 5 Gus Macaulay '27 Eloise Goedkoop '27
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 6 Annecy Kagan '26 Michael Salvatore '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 7 Adam Larzelere '25 Thomas Mazzeo '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 8 Adrien Bellanger '25 Nicole Morikawa '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 9 Blake Vogel '26 Cody Lamoreux '27
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 1 Andy Giaya '24 Marshall Rodes '26
University of Massachusetts at Amherst University of Massachusetts at Amherst Minutemen 2 Angelina Papa '26 Cole Perra '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 Jake Lacoche '26 Julia Cotsonas '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 Devyn Weed '25 Amelia Fisher '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 Lucas Wiatrowski '27 Brendan Obrien '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 4 Ethan Smits '26 Maryanne Ringuette '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 Cooper Smith '27 Ryan Thompson '26
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 Ella Towner '27 Connor Corbett '26
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 1 Sara Beth Bouchard '24 Sophia Morgan '25
Wesleyan University Wesleyan University Cardinals 2 Benjamin Siegel '26 Aleksandra Jacewicz '25
Williams College Williams College Ephs 1 Rem Johannknecht '26 James Burge '24
Williams College Williams College Ephs 2 Felix Nusbaum '25 Caleb Ockman '25

Conditions — 09/09/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1019.2 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 81°F   ↓ 70°F
Feels like 81°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From WSW (240°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine4.6 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1019.2 hPa Rain0.21 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tufts: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tufts by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (60 labelled days at Tufts).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →