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Priddy Trophy

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 15 15
2 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 15 15
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 16 16
4 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 31 31
5 Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 31 31
6 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 39 39
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 1 1 4 3 3 2 15 Declan Botwinick '25
Dean Balcirak '25
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 3 2 2 2 1 2 3 15 Emil Tullberg '25
Shannon Gondoly '25
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 3 4 1 4 1 1 16 Matthew Wallace '25
Matthew Caplan '25
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 4 5 5 3 5 5 4 31 Andy Leshaw '25
Kolby Seibert '25
Middlebury College Middlebury College Panthers 6 4 3 6 2 4 6 31 Penelope Weekes '25
Caroline Kessler '26
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 5 6 6 5 6 6 5 39 James Sullivan '25
Avery Wilson '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (53 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers18181818181818
Middlebury CollegeMiddlebury College Panthers17171717171717
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats13131313131313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams12121212121212
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks16161616161616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos15151515151515

Conditions — 04/16/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1014.2 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 49°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.8 kn
avg  ·  max 15.1 kn
Gusts to 31.1 kn
From SSW (213°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine9.8 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1014.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rhode Island: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.17 ± 0.29)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rhode Island by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (47 labelled days at Rhode Island).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →