Bowdoin College '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.06 (fleet 1.46) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 6–14 (30%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 | 2 | 6–14 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (20 matches) the record is 6–14 against 5.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-04-08 | Mystic Lake Team Racing Invite | skipper | 1.27 | -1.73 | 0–4 | 0.6 | ≤−3.00 | 0.9 | >99% |
| 2023-03-25 | Harpswell Sound Team Race | skipper | 0.95 | 1.31 | 6–10 | 4.9 | +0.36 | 0.3 | 36% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Mystic Lake Team Racing Invite | Skipper | TR | 8 | 12% | — |
| Harpswell Sound Team Race | Skipper | TR | 16 | 38% | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 7.8 | 1.33 |
| The Harvard FJ Invitational | Skipper | A | 10 | 12.8 | 0.78 |
| Bowdoin Weekday Invite | Skipper | A | 4 | 2.5 | 2.65 |
| Barnett Trophy | Skipper | B | 7 | 11.3 | 0.90 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
