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# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 16 16
2 Brown University Brown University Bears 4 18 18
3 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 28 28
4 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 33 33
5 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 38 38
6 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 39 39
7 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 40 40
8 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 46 46
9 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 53 53
10 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 56 56
11 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 65 65
12 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 65 65
13 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 67 67
14 Brown University Brown University Bears 3 75 75
15 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 83 83
16 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 98 98
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 3 4 4 1 2 2 16 Julian Dahiya '28
Elena Sun '29
Brown University Brown University Bears 4 9 1 1 3 1 3 18 Noah Stapleton '29
Michelle Kaneti '29
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 2 7 8 2 5 4 28 Peter Judge '29
Julian Henderson '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 3 5 5 2 DSQ 3 1 33 Connor Mchugh '28
Dawson Chambers-Tartaglino '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 5 4 2 13 6 8 5 38 Jack Roman '26
Maggie Fleming '27
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 1 6 6 8 6 12 39 David Vinogradov '28
Austin White '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 1 10 8 3 5 4 10 40 Bo Angus '29
Sophia Litos '29
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 2 8 3 9 4 11 11 46 Reece Schwartz '29
Frankie Sparrow '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 4 6 10 7 9 15 6 53 Parker Moore '29
Richard Marquis '29
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 1 11 12 5 7 7 14 56 Pierson Falk '28
Harper Kelley '29
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 12 11 10 11 13 8 65 Joey Richardson '28
Gavin Vanmanen '27
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 15 9 11 14 9 7 65 Gabby Collins '28
Marin Soderberg '28
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 2 7 13 14 12 12 9 67 Jacob Lentz '29
Matthew Dupree '29
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 13 14 15 10 10 13 75 William Baker '29
Kyoko Tonkin '29
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 3 14 15 12 13 14 15 83 Finneas Coldreck '29
Savannah Miner '28
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 4 16 16 RAF DNF 16 16 98 Leo Giard '29
Audra Murray '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (8 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 1111111
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 2222222
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 3333333
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 4444444
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1101010101010
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2111111111111
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3121212121212
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 1131313131313
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 2141414141414
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 3151515151515
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams 4161616161616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 1555555
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 2666666
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 3777777
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 4888888
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks 5999999

Conditions — 09/06/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 79%  ·  Pressure 1014.3 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 71°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.9 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 33.2 kn
From SSW (192°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover64% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity79% Pressure1014.3 hPa Rain0.31 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 18 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Brown: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.12)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.12 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.46 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Brown by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (78 labelled days at Brown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →