Bowdoin College '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.62 (fleet 2.22) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 2–5 (29%) as crew 7–12 (37%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 5 | 2–5 | 7–12 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (24 matches) the record is 9–15 against 6.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.7). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Thompson Trophy | crew | 3.03 | 4.38 | 3–4 | 1.4 | +1.34 | 1.7 | 12% |
| 2026-04-04 | NEISA Open Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | crew | 3.01 | 0.01 | 0–5 | 0.5 | ≤−3.00 | 0.7 | >99% |
| 2026-03-21 | KP Open Team Race | crew | 3.02 | 4.28 | 4–1 | 3.1 | +1.27 | 0.8 | 30% |
| 2026-03-01 | McMerrick Team Race Sunday | skipper | 1.69 | 2.33 | 2–5 | 1.4 | +0.64 | 0.3 | 44% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Thompson Trophy | Crew | TR | 15 | 47% | — |
| NEISA Open Team Race Championship/Fowle Trophy | Crew | TR | 11 | 18% | — |
| McMerrick Team Race Sunday | Skipper | TR | 7 | 29% | — |
| The Lynn Marchiando Trophy Team Race-2026 | Crew | TR | 15 | 13% | — |
| KP Open Team Race | Crew | TR | 9 | 44% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Open Atlantic Coast Championship Finals | Crew | A | 5 | 12.4 | +0.04 |
| NEISA Match Race Championship Keelboat | Reserve | A | 3 | 7.0 | — |
| Harman Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 4 | 3.2 | — |
| Bowdoin Mid Week Invitational | Skipper | A | 5 | 1.8 | 4.10 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Terrier Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.2 | 2.35 |
| Eagle Invite | Skipper | C | 6 | 14.7 | — |
| Bowdoin Mid Week Invitational | Skipper | A | 5 | 7.0 | 1.09 |
| Barnett Trophy | Skipper | B | 7 | 4.7 | 2.25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
