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Bowdoin Mid Week Invitational

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 19 19
2 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 19 19
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 19 19
4 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 21 21
5 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 25 25
6 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 30 30
7 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 35 35
8 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 3 38 38
9 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 38 38
10 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 43 43
11 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 46 46
12 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 57 57
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 6 3 1 1 6 8 19 Mairéad Reitzel '28
Elizabeth Wire '28
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 7 3 5 1 3 19 Sophie Brett '25
Maizie Bartlett '27
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 9 2 4 2 2 19 Shea Mcgrath '27
Aidan Michelow '25
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 1 6 2 7 5 21 Henri Richardsson '25
William Ries '26
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 5 4 4 11 5 1 25 Cole Amaral '28
Ava Tobias '28
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 1 2 8 7 3 10 30 Colby Green '25
Maggie Forger '25
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 4 6 5 9 8 7 35 Riley Donahue '28 [1-5]
Lance Dinino '25 [1-3]
Tolly Kaiser '28 [4-5]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 3 10 7 6 9 6 38 Matthew Diaz '29
Joseph Zubelik '25
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 12 10 3 4 9 38 Kique Ruiz '26
Charlotte Pare '28
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 5 11 12 11 4 43 Isaac Thompson '27
Ryan Becker '29
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 2 8 9 8 10 11 46 Colin Kenny '28
Alex Oh '28
Bates College Bates College Bobcats 3 11 12 10 12 12 57 Ryan Wiliani '28
Adam Oppenheimer '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2021 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 111111
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 222222
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats 333333
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 155555
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 266666
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 377777
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 488888
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 599999
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 61111111111
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 11414141414
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 21515151515
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 31616161616

Conditions — 10/03/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1019.3 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From SSW (196°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover32% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1019.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Bowdoin: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.10)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.31 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.10 means a rating gap counts about 9% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Bowdoin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (33 labelled days at Bowdoin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →