Navigate

Eagle Invite

Analysis
# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 145
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 195
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 280
4 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 355
5 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 367
6 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 369
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 3 1 2 4 4 4 4 6 1 6 35 Lucy Meagher '27
Reid Nelson '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 1 12 7 2 1 1 2 4 6 4 40 Drew Mastovsky '26
Frankie Sparrow '27
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson A 2 2 1 7 3 2 8 7 2 7 41 Zoey Ziskind '27
Daniella Bregman '25
Boston College Boston College Eagles B 5 7 4 1 2 3 9 5 10 8 54 Ryan Mcgauley '27
Grace Beneke '24
Boston College Boston College Eagles A 17 4 3 9 9 10 1 1 8 5 67 James O’Gwen '27
Lourdes Gallo '24
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks C 14 3 12 14 8 6 3 3 5 2 70 Luke Hosek '24
Dominique Spinola '26
Boston College Boston College Eagles C 10 15 10 13 6 8 5 2 4 1 74 Nick Budington '25
Gabrielle Trinter '27
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 7 5 14 12 7 7 6 14 7 3 82 Michelangelo Vecchio '27
Maizie Bartlett '27
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 8 8 9 3 11 15 11 10 3 9 87 Ethan Danielson '26
Posie Cabaniss '27
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels A 6 11 6 10 5 5 14 15 11 11 94 Henry Scholz '27
Finley Regan '27
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 15 10 5 5 10 13 16 12 9 14 109 Benjamin Wilkinson '26
Abigail Thress '24
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 11 16 8 6 16 9 7 11 12 15 111 Peter Taboada '25
Hala Gilbert '26
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears C 4 14 11 8 14 14 10 13 13 10 111 Shea Mcgrath '27
Kique Ruiz '26
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels B 9 6 16 15 13 16 12 17 18 13 135 Liam Gronda '25 [1-10]
Vivian Smith '27 [1-7]
Alasdair Mcdermott '26 [8-10]
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson B 16 13 13 16 15 11 15 8 15 16 138 Olivia Hogan-Lopez '26
Lily Bartlett '24
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels C 13 17 15 11 17 17 13 9 14 12 138 Duncan Craine '26 [1-3, 7-10]
William Hurd '27 [4-6]
Griffin Stead '27 [1-3, 7-10]
Alasdair Mcdermott '26 [4-6]
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies C 12 9 18 17 12 12 DNF 16 16 18 149 Oliver Dietter '27
Mridhula Subramanian '25
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson C 18 18 17 18 18 18 17 18 17 17 176 James Bergstrom '27
Abigail Fennelly '24
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles1111111111
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears13131313131313131313
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels4444444444
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson7777777777
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies16161616161616161616
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks10101010101010101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles2222222222
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears14141414141414141414
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels5555555555
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson8888888888
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies17171717171717171717
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks11111111111111111111

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles3333333333
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears15151515151515151515
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels6666666666
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson9999999999
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies18181818181818181818
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks12121212121212121212

Conditions — 09/23/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 85%  ·  Pressure 1025.1 hPa

Temperature

59°F
↑ 60°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 55°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.6 kn
Gusts to 25.1 kn
From ENE (67°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity85% Pressure1025.1 hPa Rain0.24 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston College: a favourites’ day (+0.08)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.06 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.08 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →