Boston College '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.65 (fleet 3.68) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.00 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 16–12 (57%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 8–2 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 8–10 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (28 matches) the record is 16–12 against 16.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | RWU Team Race | skipper | 3.05 | 3.07 | 8–2 | 8.0 | +0.02 | 0.0 | 69% |
| 2025-03-29 | Jumbo Team Race | skipper | 2.60 | 2.52 | 8–10 | 8.3 | −0.08 | 0.0 | 66% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Norman Reid Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 30% | — |
| Mystic Lake Invite | Skipper | B | 8 | 4.8 | 1.18 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 3.9 | 3.90 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| RWU Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 80% | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 4.5 | 4.12 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| College Sailing Match Race National Championship Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 4.0 | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 5 | 5.8 | 3.16 |
| Eagle Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.7 | 2.43 |
| Dave Perry Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.4 | 4.01 |
| 2025 Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.0 | 3.79 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Jumbo Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 44% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| BU Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.8 | 2.73 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Boston University Trophy FR | Skipper | B | 6 | 2.3 | 4.18 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | B | 10 | 5.6 | 2.96 |
| Eagle Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.7 | 2.33 |
| BU Invite | Skipper | B | 5 | 1.2 | 6.06 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
