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Analysis
# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks 214
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 221
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 283
4 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 305
5 Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 335
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 352
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks A 12 3 2 3 8 1 1 8 11 7 56 Jack Roman '26
Frankie Sparrow '27
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 A 5 2 3 11 5 17 7 1 4 2 57 James O’Gwen '27
Emily Marlas '26
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears C 11 8 6 8 7 2 3 3 1 13 62 Ryan Keenan '29
Caroline O'Hara '29
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 C 4 5 8 5 1 5 5 5 8 17 63 Ryan Mcgauley '27
Abbie Catalano '28
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears B 6 4 12 2 2 6 9 2 6 16 65 Madeline Murphy '29
Austin White '27
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks B 2 11 1 14 4 10 4 6 15 4 71 Dominik Moncur '29
Didier Schouten '29
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 A 9 1 7 1 18 13 17 10 2 1 79 Ian Hopkins Guerra '26
Kylie Craig '28
Roger Williams University Roger Williams University Hawks C 10 9 15 12 9 7 8 4 3 10 87 Parker Moore '29
Peter Cotoia '26
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos B 8 10 5 17 14 11 10 7 5 14 101 Kiana Beachy '28
Thomas Mazzeo '26
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 B 13 17 9 15 11 3 6 11 13 3 101 Rogelio Casellas '28
Matthew Commons '29
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears A 15 15 10 16 6 9 2 14 12 9 108 Cole Amaral '28
Kate Lavallee '29
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 B 17 18 17 7 3 14 12 9 7 6 110 Kate Joslin '28
Christian Yanoti '29
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears B 3 12 4 6 16 16 15 17 9 15 113 Noah Reischmann '29
Lilianna Spartz '28
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears C 7 7 14 18 15 12 13 12 14 5 117 William Clay '29
Grace Boudreau '29
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos A 1 14 18 13 10 8 14 15 17 12 122 Blake Vogel '26
Jack Poynter '29
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears A 16 13 11 9 12 4 16 16 18 8 123 Ella Demand '28
Julian Henderson '27
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos C 14 16 16 10 13 15 11 13 10 11 129 Maria Skouloudi '27
Stefano Chiampo '26
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 C 18 6 13 4 17 18 18 18 16 18 146 Kennedy Laureigh '26
Paige Roby '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2025 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 17777777777
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 28888888888
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears9999999999
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears12121212121212121212
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks10101010101010101010
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos11111111111111111111

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 113131313131313131313
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 214141414141414141414
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears15151515151515151515
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears18181818181818181818
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks16161616161616161616
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos17171717171717171717

Division C

Team1C2C3C4C5C6C7C8C9C10C
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 11111111111
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 22222222222
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears3333333333
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears6666666666
Roger Williams UniversityRoger Williams University Hawks4444444444
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos5555555555

Conditions — 09/20/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 57%  ·  Pressure 1025.2 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 6.9 kn
Gusts to 14.8 kn
From ENE (63°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity57% Pressure1025.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Boston College: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.32 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →