Ella Demand

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Singlehanded1.54unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active)14Fall 2023

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.62 (fleet 2.27) 262 of 331 −0.02 ± 0.17
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 18–47 (28%)
as crew 2–3 (40%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 202657–192–3
Spring 2025411–28—
1.51.61.71.81.9Spring 2025Spring 2026Admiral Moore Team Race (2025-03-22): rating 1.58, fleet rating alone 1.66, offset -0.08; record 7-3 in this boatCallahan Trophy (2025-03-29): rating 1.62, fleet rating alone 1.65, offset -0.03; record 3-3 in this boatNEISA Women's TR Champs - Legler Trophy (2025-04-12): rating 1.64, fleet rating alone 1.68, offset -0.04; record 1-7 in this boatGeiger Trophy (2026-03-14): rating 1.65, fleet rating alone 1.68, offset -0.03; record 3-7 in this boatRWU Team Race (2026-03-21): rating 1.67, fleet rating alone 1.68, offset -0.01; record 2-8 in this boatBC Team Race (2026-03-22): rating 1.61, fleet rating alone 1.65, offset -0.04; record 2-2 in this boatNEISA Women's Team Race Championship - Legler (2026-04-11): rating 1.75, fleet rating alone 1.78, offset -0.03; record 0-2 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 8 graded regattas (66 matches) the record is 20–46 against 22.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−2.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 13 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2026-03-28Callahan Trophycrew2.411.502–12.5−0.920.493%
2026-03-22BC Team Raceskipper1.983.842–21.1+1.861.131%
2026-03-21RWU Team Raceskipper1.910.262–83.7−1.652.099%
2026-03-14Geiger Trophyskipper1.892.473–72.2+0.580.338%
2025-04-12NEISA Women's TR Champs - Legler Trophyskipper2.072.181–70.9+0.110.064%
2025-03-29Callahan Trophyskipper2.011.743–33.2−0.270.080%
2025-03-22Admiral Moore Team Raceskipper1.754.077–35.1+2.313.34%
2025-03-15Southern New England Women's Team Raceskipper1.91-1.090–153.5≤−3.005.7>99%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Fall 2026 Team page Season
Yale Women's Women's Skipper B 4 13.0 1.45
Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's Skipper B 14 7.1 2.20
Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1A Women's Skipper B 11 12.5 1.40
Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2026 Women's Skipper B 10 8.9 2.47
Regis Trophy Women's Skipper B 10 7.4 2.19
Spring 2026 Team page Season
Women's Western National Semis Women's Skipper B 10 6.1 3.50
Women's Fleet Race National Championships Women's Skipper B 10 12.9 2.38
Vietor Trophy Skipper A 6 6.8 3.16
RWU Team Race Skipper TR 10 20% —
NEISA Women's Team Race Championship - Legler Women's Skipper TR 9 11% —
Geiger Trophy Skipper TR 12 33% —
Emily Wick Women's Skipper B 14 4.5 2.92
Callahan Trophy Women's Crew TR 9 78% —
BC Team Race Skipper TR 10 50% —
Fall 2025 Team page Season
Yale Women's Interconference Women's Skipper B 11 13.3 1.62
Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2025 Women's Skipper B 14 9.1 2.18
Regis Trophy Women's Skipper A 5 14.4 1.28
Eagle Invite Skipper A 10 12.3 -0.24
Spring 2025 Team page Season
Women's Western National Semi Finals Women's Skipper A 5 11.0 2.60
Southern New England Women's Team Race Women's Skipper TR 15 0% —
NEISA Women's TR Champs - Legler Trophy Women's Skipper TR 9 11% —
NEISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's Skipper B 3 8.7 2.83
Callahan Trophy Women's Skipper TR 8 62% —
Admiral Moore Team Race Skipper TR 14 71% —
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's Skipper B 5 11.4 1.05
Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2024 Women's Skipper B 14 10.5 2.15
Stu Nelson@ Connecticut College Women's Skipper B 10 6.9 2.90
Nickerson Trophy Skipper A 12 9.8 2.34
Coast Guard Invite Skipper A 8 7.5 3.23

Linked Profiles

League Name School Year
ISSA Ella Demand Toms River SouthToms River South '24

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →