U. S. Coast Guard Academy '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.16 (fleet 3.01) | 185 of 331 | −0.01 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 15–25 (38%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 4 | 15–25 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (40 matches) the record is 15–25 against 16.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.8). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | NEISA Women's Team Race Championship - Legler | skipper | 2.52 | 1.39 | 1–8 | 2.2 | −1.13 | 0.9 | 94% |
| 2026-03-28 | Callahan Trophy | skipper | 2.27 | 2.22 | 7–2 | 7.1 | −0.05 | 0.0 | 70% |
| 2026-03-22 | BC Team Race | skipper | 2.22 | 3.49 | 3–3 | 1.8 | +1.27 | 1.1 | 20% |
| 2026-03-14 | CofC Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.04 | 1.39 | 4–12 | 5.7 | −0.66 | 0.8 | 91% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 13 | 9.5 | 2.89 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.5 | 2.61 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1A Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.2 | 3.57 |
| Toni Deutsch '58 Trophy 2026 Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 9.2 | 2.67 |
| Regis Trophy Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.4 | 3.25 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Western National Semis Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 9.4 | 3.15 |
| Women's Fleet Race National Championships Women's | Skipper | A | 12 | 13.0 | 2.69 |
| NEISA Women's Team Race Championship - Legler Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| NEISA Women's Fleet Race Championship -Reed Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 4.6 | 3.88 |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | A | 14 | 5.2 | 3.35 |
| CofC Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 16 | 25% | — |
| Callahan Trophy Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 78% | — |
| BC Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 50% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Finals Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 11.0 | 2.73 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1B Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 9.6 | 2.63 |
| The Victorian Urn Trophy Women's | Skipper | B | 12 | 9.1 | 2.42 |
| Mystic Lake Invite | Skipper | A | 4 | 14.2 | 2.35 |
| Mt. Hope Bay Invite | Skipper | A | 12 | 6.2 | 2.29 |
| Eagle Invite | Skipper | B | 10 | 6.5 | 1.52 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
