Harvard Invitational

# SchoolTeam A TOT
1 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 8 8
2 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 9 9
3 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 22 22
4 Brown University Brown University Bears 2 28 28
5 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 28 28
6 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 30 30
7 Engineers 1 Engineers 1 Engineers 1 33 33
8 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 34 34
9 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 34 34
10 Brown University Brown University Bears 1 38 38
11 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 38 38
12 Engineers 3 Engineers 3 Engineers 3 42 42
13 Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 47 47
14 Engineers 2 Engineers 2 Engineers 2 51 51
15 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 54 54
16 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 60 60
17 Brown University Brown University Bears 3 61 61
18 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 67 67
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 3 3 1 1 8 Walter Mcfarland '29
Sarah Leary '28
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 2 1 2 4 9 Devon Owen '27
Patricia Winssinger '28
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 2 1 8 8 5 22 Owen Warren '28
Eve Cintron '29
Brown University Brown University Bears 2 5 13 3 7 28 Gabby Collins '28
Michelle Kaneti '29
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 3 13 6 6 3 28 Ryan Keenan '29
Kate Lavallee '29
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 1 4 9 7 10 30 Blake Vogel '26
Stefano Chiampo '26
Engineers 1 Engineers 1 Engineers 1 10 7 14 2 33
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 1 7 10 11 6 34 Shea Mcgrath '27
Maggie Tripp '29
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 1 9 12 4 9 34 Theresa Straw '28
Catherine Mignone '26
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 12 5 13 8 38 Julian Dahiya '28
Elena Sun '29
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 2 15 2 10 11 38 Caroline Straw '29
Julia Downey '27
Engineers 3 Engineers 3 Engineers 3 8 16 5 13 42
Harvard University Harvard University Crimson 3 17 4 12 14 47 Olivia Hogan-Lopez '26
Hanah Youn '28
Engineers 2 Engineers 2 Engineers 2 6 14 15 16 51
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 1 11 17 9 17 54 Marykate Hanus '28
Maggie Sandbeck '28
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 2 14 18 16 12 60 Ian Peterson '28
Claire Komar '27
Brown University Brown University Bears 3 18 11 17 15 61 William Baker '29
Kyoko Tonkin '29
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 3 16 15 18 18 67 Joseph Cataldo '28
Amelia Fisher '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2009 (43 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 11122
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 22233
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears 33344
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 14455
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 25566
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears 36677
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson 17788
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson 28899
Harvard UniversityHarvard University Crimson 3991010
Engineers 1Engineers 1 Engineers 110101111
Engineers 2Engineers 2 Engineers 211111212
Engineers 3Engineers 3 Engineers 312121313
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 116161717
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 217171818
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats 3181811
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 113131414
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 214141515
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos 315151616

Conditions — 09/07/2025 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

62°F
↑ 63°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.2 kn
avg  ·  max 6.1 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From NNW (346°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1016.2 hPa Rain0.65 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 5 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Harvard: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.51 ± 0.23)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Harvard by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (59 labelled days at Harvard).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →