Bowdoin College '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.04 (fleet 1.40) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.03 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 5–6 (45%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 5–6 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (11 matches) the record is 5–6 against 3.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Jumbo Team Race | skipper | 1.49 | 2.65 | 2–3 | 1.2 | +1.16 | 0.7 | 36% |
| 2026-03-21 | RWU Team Race | skipper | 1.54 | 2.76 | 3–3 | 2.0 | +1.22 | 0.8 | 29% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Savin Hill Invite | Skipper | B | 4 | 14.2 | -0.42 |
| Harvard Invitational | Skipper | A | 4 | 8.2 | 1.93 |
| BU Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 13.8 | — |
| Bowdoin Mid Week Invitational | Skipper | A | 2 | 4.0 | -0.77 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| RWU Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 30% | — |
| Jumbo Team Race | Skipper | TR | 19 | 47% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Harvard Invitational | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.5 | 2.96 |
| 2025 Nicholas Barnett Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 7.2 | 1.62 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Terrier Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.2 | 1.19 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Owen Warren |  East Greenwich High School |
'24 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
