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Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Brown University Brown University Bears 21 19 40
2 Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 27 30 57
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 38 30 68
4 Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 70 34 104
5 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 66 45 111
6 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 64 48 112
7 Boston University Boston University Terriers 44 82 126
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 77 55 132
9 Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 69 70 139
10 Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 60 92 152
11 University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 69 85 154
12 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 61 98 159
13 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 95 95 190
14 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 104 104 208
15 Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 116 92 208
16 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 107 109 216
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 7 4 4 1 2 1 1 1 21 Charles Gish '28
Madison Mansour '30
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 1 2 6 2 1 3 2 10 27 Oliver Holt '30
Abbie Catalano '28
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 2 6 2 3 6 10 5 4 38 Brayden Benesch '28
Ella Culligan '30
Boston University Boston University Terriers 5 1 11 6 4 4 7 6 44 Buck Rathbun '28
Henry Gesing '29
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 8 3 8 7 3 6 12 13 60 Noah Reischmann '29 [1-8]
Ela Murat '30 [1-4]
Mohamad Hijazi '29 [5-8]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 11 12 5 4 11 13 3 2 61 Jack Schneider '29
Bridget Theisen '29
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 4 9 3 16 7 7 11 7 64 Will Bryant '29
Austin White '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 13 16 7 12 5 2 6 5 66 Oscar Gilroy '27 [1-4]
Granger Osborne '30 [5-8]
Magnus Nilsson '30 [1-4]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 6 5 14 13 10 5 8 8 69 Justinas Petkauskas '30
Tamsin Horne '28
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 10 7 1 9 13 11 9 9 69 Henry Tuttle '30 [1-8]
Harper Kelley '29 [1-2]
Cameron Cooleen '30 [3-8]
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 3 11 10 5 9 15 14 3 70 Michael Sentovich '30
Aiesha Shekhar '28
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 12 8 12 8 8 14 4 11 77 Aiala Angueira Salbidegoitia '30 [1-8]
Olivia Creasy '30 [1-2]
Charlie Parsons '30 [3-8]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 14 10 16 11 12 8 10 14 95 Jake Demos '27 [1-8]
Stevie Thomsen '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Alexandra Demopoulos '30 [5-6]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 9 13 15 14 16 12 13 12 104 Ryan Begin '27
Mary Wallace '27
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 15 14 13 10 15 9 16 15 107 William Layton '29
Brendan Drummond '28
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 16 15 9 15 14 16 15 16 116 Joseph Whelan '29
Nadia Goodman '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Brown University Brown University Bears 1 1 3 3 6 2 1 2 19 Julian Dahiya '28
Phoebe Hackett '28
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 3 6 5 5 2 6 2 1 30 Teddy Bower '30
Grant Schmidt '28
Boston College Boston College Eagles 2 6 2 1 1 5 1 4 10 30 Glen Foster '30
Damien Bocan '27
Boston College Boston College Eagles 1 4 3 2 4 1 9 6 5 34 Matthew Commons '29
Lauren Leonard '29
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 7 4 11 6 7 3 3 4 45 Kevin Ryan '29
Gentry Schneider '29
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 2 7 4 9 10 4 5 7 48 Joey Richardson '28
Ellis Wisehart '30
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 5 5 7 2 4 5 12 15 55 Galen Nourjian '30 [1-8]
Elfi Van Kuilenburg '29 [1-2]
Mack Robertson '30 [3-8]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers 8 8 9 15 9 8 7 6 70 Hannah Beaver '29
Yancheng Zhao '30
Boston University Boston University Terriers 15 9 13 16 3 12 11 3 82 Lydia Carscaddon '30 [1-4]
Graham Welsh '29 [5-8]
Spencer Dolzani '27 [1-4]
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Rams 13 15 12 7 12 7 10 9 85 Matthew Bell '30
Ava Mcdermott '30
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Polar Bears 10 11 6 8 16 11 14 16 92 Charlie Conover '29 [1-4]
Owen Warren '28 [5-8]
Clio Foley '30 [1-4]
Charlie Conover '29 [5-8]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 2 12 13 8 12 8 15 16 8 92 Jeremiah Mccarthy '30
Isaac Kaldor '29
Connecticut College Connecticut College Camels 1 14 12 10 11 11 10 13 14 95 Wyatt Tauber '29 [1-8]
Alexandra Demopoulos '30 [1-2]
Liam Boukris '28 [3-8]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 9 10 14 14 13 16 9 13 98 Sean Morrison '27 [1-8]
Sophia Castrejon '30 [1-4]
Phineas Smith '30 [5-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 1 16 14 15 13 14 13 8 11 104 Finn O'Connor '30 [1-8]
June Page '29 [1-4]
Harvey Andrews '28 [5-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 2 11 16 16 10 15 14 15 12 109 Maggie Rosow '30 [1-8]
Sabina Coroi '27 [1-2]
Nathaniel Blackett-Thomas '28 [3-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2026 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 111223344
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 2221118181515
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33445566
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears44332211
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears55667788
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1212111110101717
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 166554433
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 2778817171010
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams88776655
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1313141415151818
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers1717101011111212
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1414131312121111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks101017178877
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111121213131414
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 1151518181122
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 21818151514141313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 11116163344
Boston CollegeBoston College Eagles 216161118181515
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers33445566
Bowdoin CollegeBowdoin College Polar Bears4433161611
Brown UniversityBrown University Bears55667788
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears12121111101099
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 166554433
Connecticut CollegeConnecticut College Camels 27788991010
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams88776655
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners1313141415151818
Massachusetts Institute of TechnologyMassachusetts Institute of Technology Engineers99101011111212
University of Rhode IslandUniversity of Rhode Island Rams1414131312121111
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks1010998877
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos1111121213131414
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 115151818111616
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts 21818151514141313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston College Boston College Michael Sentovich '30 Aiesha Shekhar '28
Eagles 1 Matthew Commons '29 Lauren Leonard '29
Boston College Boston College Oliver Holt '30 Abbie Catalano '28
Eagles 2 Glen Foster '30 Damien Bocan '27
Boston University Boston University Buck Rathbun '28 Henry Gesing '29
Terriers Lydia Carscaddon '30 [1-4]
Graham Welsh '29 [5-8]		 Spencer Dolzani '27 [1-4]
Bowdoin College Bowdoin College Noah Reischmann '29 [1-8] Ela Murat '30 [1-4]
Mohamad Hijazi '29 [5-8]
Polar Bears Charlie Conover '29 [1-4]
Owen Warren '28 [5-8]		 Clio Foley '30 [1-4]
Charlie Conover '29 [5-8]
Brown University Brown University Charles Gish '28 Madison Mansour '30
Bears Julian Dahiya '28 Phoebe Hackett '28
Connecticut College Connecticut College Jake Demos '27 [1-8] Stevie Thomsen '27 [1-4, 7-8]
Alexandra Demopoulos '30 [5-6]
Camels 1 Wyatt Tauber '29 [1-8] Alexandra Demopoulos '30 [1-2]
Liam Boukris '28 [3-8]
Connecticut College Connecticut College Joseph Whelan '29 Nadia Goodman '29
Camels 2 Jeremiah Mccarthy '30 Isaac Kaldor '29
Fordham University Fordham University Aiala Angueira Salbidegoitia '30 [1-8] Olivia Creasy '30 [1-2]
Charlie Parsons '30 [3-8]
Rams Galen Nourjian '30 [1-8] Elfi Van Kuilenburg '29 [1-2]
Mack Robertson '30 [3-8]
Massachusetts Institute of Technology Massachusetts Institute of Technology Justinas Petkauskas '30 Tamsin Horne '28
Engineers Hannah Beaver '29 Yancheng Zhao '30
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Jack Schneider '29 Bridget Theisen '29
Seahawks Sean Morrison '27 [1-8] Sophia Castrejon '30 [1-4]
Phineas Smith '30 [5-8]
Tufts University Tufts University Brayden Benesch '28 Ella Culligan '30
Jumbos Teddy Bower '30 Grant Schmidt '28
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Will Bryant '29 Austin White '27
Bears Joey Richardson '28 Ellis Wisehart '30
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Oscar Gilroy '27 [1-4]
Granger Osborne '30 [5-8]		 Magnus Nilsson '30 [1-4]
Mariners Kevin Ryan '29 Gentry Schneider '29
University of Rhode Island University of Rhode Island Henry Tuttle '30 [1-8] Harper Kelley '29 [1-2]
Cameron Cooleen '30 [3-8]
Rams Matthew Bell '30 Ava Mcdermott '30
University of Vermont University of Vermont Ryan Begin '27 Mary Wallace '27
Catamounts 1 Finn O'Connor '30 [1-8] June Page '29 [1-4]
Harvey Andrews '28 [5-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont William Layton '29 Brendan Drummond '28
Catamounts 2 Maggie Rosow '30 [1-8] Sabina Coroi '27 [1-2]
Nathaniel Blackett-Thomas '28 [3-8]

Conditions — 10/17/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1020.0 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 50°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 39°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.2 kn
avg  ·  max 14.2 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From NNW (330°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine3.5 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1020.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: no wind record for this regatta; the venue average is used
In this breeze at Boston College: an underdogs’ day (−0.04)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.07 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.10 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Boston College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Boston College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →