Kevin Ryan

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Singlehanded1.02214 of 25116Fall 2026

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.00 (fleet 1.44) 315 of 331 −0.04 ± 0.18
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 1–33 (3%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 202631–33—
0.80.91Spring 2026Bud Morrow Open Team Race (2026-03-14): rating 0.93, fleet rating alone 0.93, offset -0.01; record 1-13 in this boatKP Open Team Race (2026-03-21): rating 0.88, fleet rating alone 0.93, offset -0.05; record 0-1 in this boatKP Open Team Race (2026-03-21): rating 0.88, fleet rating alone 0.93, offset -0.05; record 0-1 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 2 graded regattas (32 matches) the record is 1–31 against 2.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.9). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2026-03-14Bud Morrow Open Team Raceskipper1.26-0.691–132.6−1.952.199%
2026-02-21McIntyre Team Raceskipper1.05-1.950–180.2≤−3.000.3>99%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Fall 2026 Team page Season
The Webb/Woollum Regatta Skipper B 8 3.0 1.94
Savin Hill Invite Skipper B 8 5.6 2.78
Oberg Trophy Skipper B 3 14.0 0.61
NY Maritime Fall Open Skipper B 10 9.6 -1.48
ILCA North Singlehanded Skipper A 8 9.0 1.87
Jesuit Open Skipper B 6 8.2 1.41
Spring 2026 Team page Season
Vietor Trophy Skipper A 8 12.5 1.62
McIntyre Team Race Skipper TR 18 0% —
KP Open Team Race Skipper TR 9 0% —
Bud Morrow Open Team Race Skipper TR 14 7% —
Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup-2026 Skipper C 10 11.6 1.09
Admiral's Cup Skipper A 4 11.0 1.39
Fall 2025 Team page Season
Stony Brook Fall Open Skipper A 8 3.9 1.46
Laser North Singlehanded Skipper A 8 9.2 -0.00
Lake Virginia Invitational Skipper A 7 13.0 —
The John Quinn Skipper B 4 3.0 1.50
2026 Rose Bowl Regatta Skipper A 6 20.7 0.36

Linked Profiles

League Name School Year
ISSA Kevin Ryan St. John the BaptistSt. John the Baptist '25

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →