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Jesuit Open

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 50 35 85
2 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 56 55 111
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 88 46 134
4 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 51 86 137
5 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 106 57 163
6 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 101 84 185
7 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 58 141 199
8 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 131 104 235
9 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 114 148 MRP 262 MRP
10 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 127 161 288
11 Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 157 135 292
12 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 163 161 324
13 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 148 179 327
14 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 168 160 328
15 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 185 181 MRP 366 MRP
16 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 230 MRP 233 MRP 463 MRP
17 Williams College Williams College Ephs 231 238 469
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 3 3 4 6 5 1 5 2 4 2 1 5 8 50 Hugh Carty '27
Molly Jethwa '28
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 4 5 6 2 3 1 8 3 3 1 5 7 1 2 51 Lorenzo Puertas '29
Grace Redner '27
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 3 1 8 3 1 3 2 1 7 3 1 2 3 DNS 56 Liam Marcell '30
Gabriella Fields '28
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 10 2 2 1 10 6 6 2 1 2 7 4 2 3 58 Logan Mraz '29
Skyler Marnik '29
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 8 6 5 8 2 4 9 9 10 10 4 5 4 4 88 Galen Nourjian '30 [1-14]
Elfi Van Kuilenburg '29 [1-6, 11-12]
Olivia Creasy '30 [7-10, 13-14]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 9 4 1 6 11 9 13 4 8 5 3 11 12 5 101 Joseph Murphy '28 [1-14]
Ekaterina Kuzmenko '28 [1-6, 9-10]
Katie Loeper '29 [7-8]
Joy Hunter '28 [11-14]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 7 10 10 5 9 7 7 15 6 9 11 3 6 1 106 Luke Ondrey '29
Hanna Anderson '30
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 2 8 7 12 7 2 11 11 4 11 12 9 7 11 114 Katherine Mason '27
Chiara Dacosta '30
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 11 13 4 9 12 15 5 13 5 7 10 8 8 7 127 Alexander Salzberg '29
Soledad Fintel '29
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 5 7 11 7 5 11 15 10 11 8 9 13 9 10 131 Patrick Wahlig '27
Puiyee Kong '27
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 16 11 12 11 8 16 4 7 9 13 8 12 15 6 148 Charles Crowell '28
Shane Churilla '29
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 12 12 13 16 4 10 12 14 15 14 6 6 11 12 157 Tyler Winowiecki '27
Zara Bennett '28
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 9 16 15 15 13 3 6 12 12 14 15 13 14 163 Jeremy Lunati '27
Rj Calanese '29
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 15 17 14 10 13 12 14 12 13 6 13 10 10 9 168 Perla Castro_Ramos '30 [1-14]
Ellie Sears '31 [1]
Jocelyn Widrick '30 [2-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 14 15 9 13 16 8 10 8 16 15 15 17 16 13 185 Carson Totino '29 [1-10]
Matthew Mccarvill '28 [11-14]
Gracie Robertson '30 [1-4, 7-10]
Stella Estipona '30 [5-6]
Freya Isenhart '28 [11-14]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 13 14 15 14 14 14 17 16 17 16 17 14 14 15 230 MRP Nils Triplett '28
Ty Mazzga '28
Williams College Williams College Ephs DNF 16 17 17 17 17 16 17 14 17 16 16 17 16 231 Rebecca Power '27 [1-7]
Ezra Shapiro '29 [8-14]
Dihan Elijah Pagalilauan '29 [1-3]
Lauren Mukavitz '27 [4-7]
Everett Johnson '29 [8-11]
Caspar Von Hollen '30 [12-14]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 1 1 5 3 1 3 10 3 1 1 1 1 2 35 Sean Trudell '28
Noelle Sizemore '29
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 1 4 2 6 1 9 3 1 1 2 4 3 2 5 3 46 Nathan Finkelstein '30 [1-14]
Parker Keeffe-Jones '28 [1-5, 11]
Alana Shigekane '27 [6-10, 12-14]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 1 3 3 3 1 9 7 3 4 2 8 4 2 5 55 Will Bryant '29
Austin White '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 2 7 5 5 2 2 4 2 7 6 5 2 3 3 4 57 Michael Burns '29
Isabelle Getchell '30
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 5 10 10 7 5 7 11 5 1 3 9 6 4 1 84 Claire Sullivan '29 [1-14]
Ryan Galella '27 [1-8, 11-12]
Katie Loeper '29 [9-10, 13-14]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 9 4 2 4 4 2 5 12 5 10 4 7 8 10 86 Ben Visco '28 [1-8, 11-12]
Jillian Giordano '27 [9-10, 13-14]
Alexander Reynolds '28 [1-8, 11-12]
Megan Gottfried '27 [9-10, 13-14]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 3 9 4 6 6 10 9 9 7 6 5 9 14 7 104 Clara Díaz Suárez '28 [1-10]
Walker Cox '29 [11-14]
Beatrice Formenton '29 [1-10]
Katie May '27 [11-14]
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Seahawks 10 7 8 9 10 5 4 14 9 12 11 13 11 12 135 Elliot Condon '29
Nat Altuzar '27
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 6 11 11 13 12 11 6 15 11 11 10 5 10 9 141 Advik Eswaran '27 [1-14]
Isa Mena '29 [1-10]
Claire Brown '29 [11-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 1 8 8 9 11 7 6 10 11 8 7 12 16 7 8 148 MRP Oscar Gilroy '27 [1-4, 9-12]
Kevin Ryan '29 [5-8, 13-14]
Magnus Nilsson '30 [1-4, 9-12]
Sean Warwick '28 [5-8]
Gentry Schneider '29 [13-14]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 13 12 15 8 14 12 14 2 10 9 14 15 9 13 160 Cathleen Rutter '29
Isabel Dickson '30
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 12 13 12 12 11 8 8 6 14 15 13 11 15 11 161 Joseph Herrick '28
Michael Saharov '28
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 15 16 13 16 8 16 12 8 12 16 7 10 6 6 161 Imogene Nuss '28 [1-8, 11-14]
Nora Ciak '27 [9-10]
Nora Ciak '27 [1-8, 11-14]
Abby Wyman '29 [9-10]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 4 13 8 15 12 12 14 179 Sean Bascoe '27
Grace Glowczewski '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 2 11 6 7 10 13 13 13 13 15 13 6 8 17 16 181 MRP Grady Stahl '30 [1-12]
Owen Alway '30 [13-14]
Joanie Tarleton '30 [1-4, 7-12]
Ava Schmutzer '30 [5-6, 13-14]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 16 15 16 15 16 14 16 16 17 14 16 14 13 15 233 MRP Thomas Dilkes '30 [1-4]
Nial Powers '28 [5-14]
Nial Powers '28 [1-4]
Nicholas Hawran '28 [5-14]
Williams College Williams College Ephs DNF DNS 17 17 17 17 17 17 16 17 17 17 16 17 238 Skyla Horne Perez '30 [1-7]
Max Harthorne '28 [8-14]
Judith Weintraub '29 [1-4]
Hannah Smith '29 [5-7]
Jaipal Dohil '29 [8-10]
Dihan Elijah Pagalilauan '29 [11-14]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2012 (3 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1010998877665544
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 111223344556677
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 2221118181717161615151414
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 11111121213131414151516161717
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 212121111101099887766
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners33445566778899
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines141413131212111110109988
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen13131414151516161717181811
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats44332211181817171616
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers7788991010111112121313
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions556677889910101111
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers6655443322111818
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks88776655443322
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks99101011111212131314141515
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1515161617171818112233
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1616151514141313121211111010
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs171718181122334455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears1010998877665544
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 111223344556677
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams 2221118181717161615151414
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 11111121213131414151516161717
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 212121111101099887766
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners33445566778899
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines141413131212111110109988
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen13131414151516161717181811
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats44332211181817171616
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers7788991010111112121313
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions556677889910101111
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers6655443322111818
Salve Regina UniversitySalve Regina University Seahawks88776655443322
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks99101011111212131314141515
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen1515161617171818112233
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs1616151514141313121211111010
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs171718181122334455
School / Team SkipperCrew
Fordham University Fordham University Galen Nourjian '30 [1-14] Elfi Van Kuilenburg '29 [1-6, 11-12]
Olivia Creasy '30 [7-10, 13-14]
Rams 1 Nathan Finkelstein '30 [1-14] Parker Keeffe-Jones '28 [1-5, 11]
Alana Shigekane '27 [6-10, 12-14]
Fordham University Fordham University Luke Ondrey '29 Hanna Anderson '30
Rams 2 Michael Burns '29 Isabelle Getchell '30
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Perla Castro_Ramos '30 [1-14] Ellie Sears '31 [1]
Jocelyn Widrick '30 [2-14]
Mariners Cathleen Rutter '29 Isabel Dickson '30
Northwestern University Northwestern University Charles Crowell '28 Shane Churilla '29
Wildcats Sean Bascoe '27 Grace Glowczewski '27
Penn State University Penn State University Joseph Murphy '28 [1-14] Ekaterina Kuzmenko '28 [1-6, 9-10]
Katie Loeper '29 [7-8]
Joy Hunter '28 [11-14]
Nittany Lions Claire Sullivan '29 [1-14] Ryan Galella '27 [1-8, 11-12]
Katie Loeper '29 [9-10, 13-14]
Princeton University Princeton University Logan Mraz '29 Skyler Marnik '29
Tigers Advik Eswaran '27 [1-14] Isa Mena '29 [1-10]
Claire Brown '29 [11-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Jeremy Lunati '27 Rj Calanese '29
Privateers Joseph Herrick '28 Michael Saharov '28
Salve Regina University Salve Regina University Tyler Winowiecki '27 Zara Bennett '28
Seahawks Elliot Condon '29 Nat Altuzar '27
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Nils Triplett '28 Ty Mazzga '28
Ducks Thomas Dilkes '30 [1-4]
Nial Powers '28 [5-14]		 Nial Powers '28 [1-4]
Nicholas Hawran '28 [5-14]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Liam Marcell '30 Gabriella Fields '28
Bears Will Bryant '29 Austin White '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Katherine Mason '27 Chiara Dacosta '30
Mariners 1 Oscar Gilroy '27 [1-4, 9-12]
Kevin Ryan '29 [5-8, 13-14]		 Magnus Nilsson '30 [1-4, 9-12]
Sean Warwick '28 [5-8]
Gentry Schneider '29 [13-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Carson Totino '29 [1-10]
Matthew Mccarvill '28 [11-14]		 Gracie Robertson '30 [1-4, 7-10]
Stella Estipona '30 [5-6]
Freya Isenhart '28 [11-14]
Mariners 2 Grady Stahl '30 [1-12]
Owen Alway '30 [13-14]		 Joanie Tarleton '30 [1-4, 7-12]
Ava Schmutzer '30 [5-6, 13-14]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Hugh Carty '27 Molly Jethwa '28
Midshipmen Sean Trudell '28 Noelle Sizemore '29
University of Michigan University of Michigan Lorenzo Puertas '29 Grace Redner '27
Wolverines Ben Visco '28 [1-8, 11-12]
Jillian Giordano '27 [9-10, 13-14]		 Alexander Reynolds '28 [1-8, 11-12]
Megan Gottfried '27 [9-10, 13-14]
Washington College Washington College Alexander Salzberg '29 Soledad Fintel '29
Shoremen Imogene Nuss '28 [1-8, 11-14]
Nora Ciak '27 [9-10]		 Nora Ciak '27 [1-8, 11-14]
Abby Wyman '29 [9-10]
Williams College Williams College Rebecca Power '27 [1-7]
Ezra Shapiro '29 [8-14]		 Dihan Elijah Pagalilauan '29 [1-3]
Lauren Mukavitz '27 [4-7]
Everett Johnson '29 [8-11]
Caspar Von Hollen '30 [12-14]
Ephs Skyla Horne Perez '30 [1-7]
Max Harthorne '28 [8-14]		 Judith Weintraub '29 [1-4]
Hannah Smith '29 [5-7]
Jaipal Dohil '29 [8-10]
Dihan Elijah Pagalilauan '29 [11-14]
Yale University Yale University Patrick Wahlig '27 Puiyee Kong '27
Bulldogs Clara Díaz Suárez '28 [1-10]
Walker Cox '29 [11-14]		 Beatrice Formenton '29 [1-10]
Katie May '27 [11-14]

Conditions — 10/03/2026 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 52%  ·  Pressure 1023.7 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 65°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From NE (48°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover3% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity52% Pressure1023.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn · E 9 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Fordham: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.09 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Fordham by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (25 labelled days at Fordham).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →