Penn State University '28
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 59.07 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.117 rating points from 10 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
Each discipline has its own scale, built from the sailor's main rating and their results in that discipline. The numbers are not comparable with the main rating or with each other.
How these ratings work →| Discipline | Rating | Rank | Races | Last raced |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Singlehanded | -0.23 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 8 | Fall 2026 |
| Keelboat | 0.85 | unranked (fewer than 10 races or not active) | 12 | Fall 2023 |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.47 (fleet 2.05) | 282 of 331 | −0.01 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 13–29 (31%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 8–22 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 5–7 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (42 matches) the record is 13–29 against 13.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Seahawk Team Race | skipper | 1.93 | 1.74 | 3–12 | 3.3 | −0.19 | 0.0 | 73% |
| 2026-02-28 | NA Open Team Race at SMC | skipper | 1.81 | 1.50 | 5–10 | 5.6 | −0.31 | 0.1 | 78% |
| 2025-03-29 | Pirate Team Racing | skipper | 1.98 | 2.21 | 5–7 | 4.6 | +0.23 | 0.1 | 52% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Luce Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 4.3 | 2.77 |
| ILCA North Singlehanded | Skipper | A | 8 | 17.0 | -1.33 |
| Jesuit Open | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.2 | 2.27 |
| Chesapeake Open | Skipper | A | 7 | 12.6 | -2.14 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Seahawk Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 20% | — |
| NA Open Team Race at SMC | Skipper | TR | 15 | 33% | — |
| America Trophy | Skipper | B | 11 | 13.5 | 1.38 |
| 2026 Azalea Bowl Regatta | Skipper | A | 11 | 6.4 | 2.35 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.3 | 2.53 |
| Riley Cup | Skipper | B | 13 | 8.2 | 1.66 |
| Luce Trophy | Skipper | B | 15 | 3.6 | 2.87 |
| Cazenovia Fall Open | Skipper | A | 5 | 1.4 | 3.92 |
| 2026 Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.3 | 2.69 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Pirate Team Racing | Skipper | TR | 12 | 42% | — |
| The Grant | Skipper | A | 10 | 3.3 | 2.10 |
| America Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 12.0 | 2.50 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Sodus Bay Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.4 | 1.32 |
| CAZENOVIA FALL OPEN | Skipper | B | 6 | 1.2 | 4.14 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Joseph Murphy |  Leonardtown High School |
'24 |
| ISSA | Joseph Murphy |  Granby High School |
'24 |
| ISSA | Joseph Murphy |  Maury High School |
'24 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
