Navigate

Luce Trophy

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 26 12 38
2 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 26 24 50
3 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 21 42 63
4 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 24 41 65
5 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 22 44 66
6 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 41 39 80
7 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 60 29 89
8 Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 53 43 96
9 Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 46 64 110
10 Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 62 51 113
11 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 60 62 122
12 Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 76 52 128
13 SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 79 59 138
14 Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 70 90 160
15 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 68 96 164
16 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 94 82 176
17 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 97 88 185
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 2 7 3 5 3 21 James Lilyquist '28
Owen Smith '30
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 3 1 4 10 3 1 22 Logan Mraz '29
Alex Wszolek '29
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 5 5 6 2 4 2 24 Andrew Chisholm '29
Anna Powick '29
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 4 4 1 4 8 5 26 Adam Starck '29
Amelia Tebbens '29
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 7 7 2 1 2 7 26 Joseph Murphy '28
Ekaterina Kuzmenko '28
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 2 3 DSQ 9 1 8 41 Alexander Salzberg '29
Soledad Fintel '29
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 8 9 3 7 7 12 46 Andrew Martin '27
Andrew Bassett '28
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 11 8 5 12 6 11 53 Tristan Feves '27
Oscar Mcmahan '28
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 9 14 10 8 10 9 60 Sophie Grigg '28
Connor Smith '29
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 10 11 11 11 11 6 60 Nehuel Armenanzas '30
Henry Rudowski '31
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 6 10 8 13 15 10 62 Julia Gordon '27
Ava Mcnabb '28
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 14 12 13 6 9 14 68 Eric Johnson '27
Maxine Hall '29
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 13 13 12 5 14 13 70 Reid Chapman '27
Lyra Seligman '30
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 12 15 DSQ 14 13 4 76 Lucas Randle '28 [1-3]
Jonathan Walerys '27 [4-6]
Bhavika Choudhary '27 [1-3]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves RAF 6 9 17 12 17 79 Yichen Cai '30 [1-5]
Sergei Ivanov '27 [6]
Amy Chen '27 [1-5]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 15 17 14 16 17 15 94 Gus Hankinson '27 [1-5]
Nathan Gaddis '29 [6]
Nathan Gaddis '29 [1-5]
Graham Henrich '29 [6]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates RDG 16 DNF 15 16 16 97 Jackson Manley '27
Maggie Cesario-Mckeon '30
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 4 1 1 3 2 1 12 Nathaniel Hartwell '28
Juliana Sarich '28
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 3 4 2 2 6 7 24 Claire Sullivan '29
Katie Loeper '29
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 7 2 6 8 1 5 29 Joby Overton '31
Tucker Tevald '30
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 5 3 8 5 9 9 39 Imogene Nuss '28
Nora Ciak '27
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 2 10 4 12 10 3 41 Jude Martel '29
Ethan Maclean '28
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 1 5 7 11 7 11 42 Zachary Bender '28
Ray Mcdonald '29
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Ducks 6 7 9 7 4 10 43 Cameron Giordano '30 [1-6]
Niall Powers Ozyurt '27 [1-3]
Nils Triplett '27 [4-6]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 10 13 10 6 3 2 44 Sebastien Nordenson '27
Keira Wolk '30
Villanova University Villanova University Wildcats 13 6 3 4 17 8 51 John O'Leary '30
Cameron Mcvittie '29
Drexel University Drexel University Dragons 11 9 5 13 8 6 52 Jannik Schwarzer '27 [1-6]
Jonathan Walerys '27 [1-3]
Ashlynne Mcbride '30 [4-6]
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Seawolves 9 12 14 9 11 4 59 Sarah Rupa '30 [1-3]
Khai Hern Low '28 [4-6]
Sergei Ivanov '27 [1-3]
Emily Mai '30 [4-6]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 12 8 13 10 5 14 62 Eli Leopold '28
Linnea Wurdack '28
Rutgers University Rutgers University Scarlet Knights 8 14 11 1 14 16 64 Cooper Bennett '27
Charlotte Devries '28
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 15 11 12 16 16 12 82 Thomas Brearley '27
Madelyn Zimmerman '28
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 14 15 15 14 15 15 88 Isaac Faulkner '31
Micah Brandel '28
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 17 16 16 15 13 13 90 Teddy Jiganti '29
Patrice Masterson '29
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 16 17 17 17 12 17 96 Tyler Boissevain '28
Hugh Carney '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (18 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights121212141414
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons111333
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals222444
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates333555
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps131313151515
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers999111111
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions444666
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers555777
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels666888
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers777999
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights888101010
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks111111131313
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves101010121212
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats141414161616
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies151515171717
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen161616111
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe171717222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights131313151515
Drexel UniversityDrexel University Dragons222444
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals333555
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates444666
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps141414161616
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers101010121212
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions555777
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers666888
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels777999
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers888101010
Rutgers UniversityRutgers University Scarlet Knights999111111
Stevens Institute of TechnologyStevens Institute of Technology Ducks121212141414
SUNY Stony BrookSUNY Stony Brook Seawolves111111131313
Villanova UniversityVillanova University Wildcats151515171717
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies161616111
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen171717222
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe111333
School / Team SkipperCrew
Drexel University Drexel University Lucas Randle '28 [1-3]
Jonathan Walerys '27 [4-6]		 Bhavika Choudhary '27 [1-3]
Dragons Jannik Schwarzer '27 [1-6] Jonathan Walerys '27 [1-3]
Ashlynne Mcbride '30 [4-6]
Hamilton College Hamilton College Reid Chapman '27 Lyra Seligman '30
Continentals Teddy Jiganti '29 Patrice Masterson '29
Hampton University Hampton University Jackson Manley '27 Maggie Cesario-Mckeon '30
Pirates Isaac Faulkner '31 Micah Brandel '28
Penn State University Penn State University Joseph Murphy '28 Ekaterina Kuzmenko '28
Nittany Lions Claire Sullivan '29 Katie Loeper '29
Princeton University Princeton University Logan Mraz '29 Alex Wszolek '29
Tigers Sebastien Nordenson '27 Keira Wolk '30
Queen's University Queen's University Andrew Chisholm '29 Anna Powick '29
Gaels Jude Martel '29 Ethan Maclean '28
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Nehuel Armenanzas '30 Henry Rudowski '31
Tigers Joby Overton '31 Tucker Tevald '30
Rutgers University Rutgers University Andrew Martin '27 Andrew Bassett '28
Scarlet Knights Cooper Bennett '27 Charlotte Devries '28
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Adam Starck '29 Amelia Tebbens '29
Privateers Nathaniel Hartwell '28 Juliana Sarich '28
SUNY Stony Brook SUNY Stony Brook Yichen Cai '30 [1-5]
Sergei Ivanov '27 [6]		 Amy Chen '27 [1-5]
Seawolves Sarah Rupa '30 [1-3]
Khai Hern Low '28 [4-6]		 Sergei Ivanov '27 [1-3]
Emily Mai '30 [4-6]
Stevens Institute of Technology Stevens Institute of Technology Tristan Feves '27 Oscar Mcmahan '28
Ducks Cameron Giordano '30 [1-6] Niall Powers Ozyurt '27 [1-3]
Nils Triplett '27 [4-6]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Gus Hankinson '27 [1-5]
Nathan Gaddis '29 [6]		 Nathan Gaddis '29 [1-5]
Graham Henrich '29 [6]
Black Knights Thomas Brearley '27 Madelyn Zimmerman '28
University of Maryland University of Maryland Sophie Grigg '28 Connor Smith '29
Terps Eli Leopold '28 Linnea Wurdack '28
Villanova University Villanova University Julia Gordon '27 Ava Mcnabb '28
Wildcats John O'Leary '30 Cameron Mcvittie '29
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech James Lilyquist '28 Owen Smith '30
Hokies Zachary Bender '28 Ray Mcdonald '29
Washington College Washington College Alexander Salzberg '29 Soledad Fintel '29
Shoremen Imogene Nuss '28 Nora Ciak '27
William and Mary William and Mary Eric Johnson '27 Maxine Hall '29
Tribe Tyler Boissevain '28 Hugh Carney '29

Conditions — 10/24/2026 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1034.6 hPa

Temperature

56°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.4 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 8.2 kn
From NE (42°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover21% Sunshine9.2 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1034.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: no wind record for this regatta; the venue average is used
In this breeze at Washington College: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington College by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Washington College).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →