Washington College '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.02 (fleet 1.44) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 0–18 (0%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 0–18 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 0–18 against 0.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 1.31 | -1.69 | 0–9 | 0.3 | ≤−3.00 | 0.4 | >99% |
| 2026-03-14 | WAC Team Race @ Fordham | skipper | 1.19 | -1.81 | 0–9 | 0.5 | ≤−3.00 | 0.7 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Washington College Fall Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.2 | 1.70 |
| Philly Fleet Race | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.8 | 1.16 |
| Luce Trophy | Skipper | A | 5 | 4.6 | 1.86 |
| Kingsmill Cup | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.9 | 1.61 |
| Jesuit Open | Skipper | A | 14 | 9.1 | 1.73 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 12.6 | 1.05 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| WAC Team Race @ Fordham | Skipper | TR | 13 | 31% | — |
| Stony Brook Team Race | Skipper | TR | 20 | 80% | — |
| The Grant | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.4 | 1.19 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 0% | — |
| 2026 Azalea Bowl Regatta | Skipper | A | 7 | 7.6 | 0.82 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Webb Woolum | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.1 | -0.42 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | A | 5 | 5.8 | 2.38 |
| Luce Trophy | Skipper | A | 13 | 10.1 | 0.71 |
| The John Quinn | Skipper | B | 8 | 2.2 | 1.99 |
| Central Series 1 | Skipper | B | 5 | 1.4 | 1.79 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
