Princeton University '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.22 (fleet 3.02) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.03 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 3–12 (20%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 3–12 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (15 matches) the record is 3–12 against 0.9 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.1). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | NA Open Team Race at SMC | skipper | 2.15 | 3.58 | 3–12 | 0.9 | +1.44 | 2.5 | 6% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Luce Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 3.7 | 2.98 |
| KP Dinghy Open Invite | Skipper | A | 9 | 6.1 | 2.37 |
| Jesuit Open | Skipper | A | 14 | 4.1 | 3.34 |
| David Lee Arnoff | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.7 | 1.54 |
| Chesapeake Open | Skipper | A | 7 | 6.7 | 1.77 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Owen Trophy | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.1 | 2.85 |
| NA Open Team Race at SMC | Skipper | TR | 15 | 20% | — |
| Hanbury Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 2.0 | 3.16 |
| The Grant | Skipper | A | 13 | 2.5 | 3.27 |
| America Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 8.7 | 3.33 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | A | 8 | 13.2 | 2.01 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | A | 5 | 4.0 | 3.07 |
| Luce Trophy | Skipper | A | 15 | 3.9 | 2.98 |
| The John Quinn | Skipper | A | 8 | 1.9 | 2.80 |
| David Lee Arnoff Trophy | Skipper | A | 11 | 6.6 | 0.60 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
