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Sodus Bay Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 22 14 36
2 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 35 23 58
3 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1 35 23 58
4 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2 50 44 94
5 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 47 49 96
6 Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 43 53 96
7 Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 41 56 97
8 University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 66 98 MRP 164 MRP
9 U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 90 83 173
10 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 3 82 111 MRP 193 MRP
11 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 108 MRP 118 MRP 226 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 2 2 1 1 1 3 7 3 2 22 Boris Bialer '26
Theodore Taylor '25
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 1 4 5 6 8 7 1 2 1 35 Julian Hill '26
Clea Yates '26
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1 8 3 2 2 3 2 5 6 4 35 Cole Bender '26
Hayden Graff '27
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 3 8 6 7 4 5 4 1 3 41 Michael Stewart '25
Mary Powell '27
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 5 7 3 3 6 4 2 8 5 43 Anthony Farrar '26 [1-9]
Aidan Kelly '28 [1-2, 7-8]
Vlada Malina '26 [3-6, 9]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 4 1 9 8 5 1 3 4 DSQ 47 Joseph Murphy '28 [1-9]
Makenna Labor '25 [1-2, 5-9]
Phyllip Gwozdz '25 [3-4]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2 7 6 4 4 2 6 8 5 8 50 Ashley Franklin '27
Sadie Goldberg '26
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 6 5 7 5 7 11 10 9 6 66 Abby Eckert '25
Josephine Freis '25
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 3 11 10 11 10 11 9 6 7 7 82 Margaret Arocho '25 [1-4]
Matthew Lefler '29 [5-9]
Grace Boesel '26 [1-2]
Daniel Coplan '25 [3-4]
Ryan Tagen '28 [5-9]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 10 11 10 11 10 10 9 10 9 90 Gabriel Kunze '25 [1-9]
Justin Mcdaniel '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Thomas Brearley '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 9 9 8 9 9 8 DNS DNS DNS 108 MRP Mary Morris '26
Antonio Aaron '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 1 1 1 3 1 4 1 1 1 14 Marcus Greco '28
Wynne Williams '27
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 3 2 3 1 3 2 3 3 3 23 Defne Melikoglu '27
Samson Barbara '26
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1 5 3 2 4 2 1 2 2 2 23 Kayla Maguire '25
Kristen Mcdonough '25
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 2 4 4 4 5 5 6 7 5 4 44 Josh Elliott '29 [1-9]
Hayden Robertson '26 [1-4]
Elizabeth Barron '25 [5-9]
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 2 6 5 7 8 8 4 4 5 49 Joseph Simpkins '27 [1-9]
Justin Marquez '28 [1-2, 7-9]
Mac Fitzgerald '28 [3-6]
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Sea Lions 6 10 6 2 4 5 5 7 8 53 Bryce Nill '26
Levi Loomis-Adams '28
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 7 5 10 6 6 3 6 6 7 56 Elizabeth Price '25
Clemens Robinson '28
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Black Knights 9 7 8 11 DNF 9 9 9 9 83 Gus Hankinson '27 [1-9]
Sebastian Bustamante '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Kwame Adusei-Poku '27 [3-4, 7-9]
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 11 11 11 9 7 7 8 8 6 98 MRP Ingemar Hentschel '25 [1-4]
Nicholas Gould '25 [5-9]
Nicholas Gould '25 [1-2]
Grace Yang '25 [3-9]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 3 8 8 7 8 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 111 MRP Ethan Menand '27
Ryan Tagen '28
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 10 9 9 10 DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 118 MRP Finn Halstead '28 [1-9]
Melissa Young '26 [1-4]
Liam Tillou '28 [5-9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.250+0.25
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2022 (5 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights10101133557
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red113355779
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals2244668810
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions44668810101
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions3355779911
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels55779911112
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 166881010113
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 277991111224
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 388101011335
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets11112244668
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange99111122446

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
U. S. Military AcademyU. S. Military Academy Black Knights11112244666
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red224466888
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals335577999
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions557799111111
Penn State BehrendPenn State Behrend Sea Lions446688101010
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels66881010111
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 177991111222
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 288101011333
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers 399111122444
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets113355777
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange10101133555
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cornell University Cornell University Boris Bialer '26 Theodore Taylor '25
Big Red Marcus Greco '28 Wynne Williams '27
Hamilton College Hamilton College Michael Stewart '25 Mary Powell '27
Continentals Elizabeth Price '25 Clemens Robinson '28
Penn State Behrend Penn State Behrend Anthony Farrar '26 [1-9] Aidan Kelly '28 [1-2, 7-8]
Vlada Malina '26 [3-6, 9]
Sea Lions Bryce Nill '26 Levi Loomis-Adams '28
Penn State University Penn State University Joseph Murphy '28 [1-9] Makenna Labor '25 [1-2, 5-9]
Phyllip Gwozdz '25 [3-4]
Nittany Lions Joseph Simpkins '27 [1-9] Justin Marquez '28 [1-2, 7-9]
Mac Fitzgerald '28 [3-6]
Queen's University Queen's University Julian Hill '26 Clea Yates '26
Gaels Defne Melikoglu '27 Samson Barbara '26
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Cole Bender '26 Hayden Graff '27
Tigers 1 Kayla Maguire '25 Kristen Mcdonough '25
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Ashley Franklin '27 Sadie Goldberg '26
Tigers 2 Josh Elliott '29 [1-9] Hayden Robertson '26 [1-4]
Elizabeth Barron '25 [5-9]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Margaret Arocho '25 [1-4]
Matthew Lefler '29 [5-9]		 Grace Boesel '26 [1-2]
Daniel Coplan '25 [3-4]
Ryan Tagen '28 [5-9]
Tigers 3 Ethan Menand '27 Ryan Tagen '28
Syracuse University Syracuse University Mary Morris '26 Antonio Aaron '26
Orange Finn Halstead '28 [1-9] Melissa Young '26 [1-4]
Liam Tillou '28 [5-9]
U. S. Military Academy U. S. Military Academy Gabriel Kunze '25 [1-9] Justin Mcdaniel '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Thomas Brearley '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Black Knights Gus Hankinson '27 [1-9] Sebastian Bustamante '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Kwame Adusei-Poku '27 [3-4, 7-9]
University of Rochester University of Rochester Abby Eckert '25 Josephine Freis '25
Yellowjackets Ingemar Hentschel '25 [1-4]
Nicholas Gould '25 [5-9]		 Nicholas Gould '25 [1-2]
Grace Yang '25 [3-9]

Conditions — 09/28/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1012.9 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 5.3 kn
Gusts to 13.0 kn
From ENE (78°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover72% Sunshine7.0 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1012.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn · SE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Rochester: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.08 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Rochester by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Rochester, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →