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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 12 7 19
2 Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 14 12 26
3 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 26 28 54
4 Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 27 29 56
5 Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 25 41 66
6 Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 2 42 32 74
7 University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 34 41 75
8 Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 2 45 41 86
9 Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 1 45 52 97
10 Indiana University of Pennsylvania Indiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks 60 47 107
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 3 2 1 3 2 1 12 Barrett Lhamon '26 [1-6]
Justin Marquez '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Ryan Galella '27 [3-4]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 2 1 2 2 1 6 14 Julian Hill '26
Jane Butler '25
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 5 3 3 6 3 5 25 Alan Becker '27
Renata Altuzar Barcenas '26
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 4 4 4 7 5 2 26 Tucker Ballou '26 [1-6]
Franny Demshak-Geddes '25 [1-5]
Maren Behnke '25 [6]
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 1 5 5 4 4 8 27 Cole Bender '26
Josh Elliott '29
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 8 7 7 1 7 4 34 Abby Eckert '25
Grace Yang '25
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 2 7 8 8 8 8 3 42
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 1 6 6 9 9 6 9 45 Jack Pearlson '27 [1-6]
Rafael Sanchez '26 [1-4, 6]
Stew Adams '26 [5]
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 2 9 9 6 5 9 7 45 Collin Ross '25
Lauren Grabski '25
Indiana University of Pennsylvania Indiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks 10 10 10 10 10 10 60 Isabel Allerheiligen '26
Lauren Connor '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 1 1 2 1 1 1 7 Joseph Murphy '28 [1-6]
Mac Fitzgerald '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Erich Laughlin '28 [3-4]
Queen's University Queen's University Gaels 2 2 1 2 2 3 12 Thomas Elia '24
Amelia Nugent '25
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 1 3 6 3 5 5 6 28 Shay Gualdoni '25
Henry Ihle '25
Rochester Institute of Technology Rochester Institute of Technology Tigers 4 3 7 7 6 2 29 Alden Burt '28
Ryan Tagen '28
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 2 10 4 6 3 4 5 32
University of Rochester University of Rochester Yellowjackets 5 10 5 4 7 10 41 Carlos Lopez '27
Asa Guldbrandsen '26
Syracuse University Syracuse University Orange 2 6 7 8 10 3 7 41 Caitlin Delessio '27
Braden Haulman '26
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 7 5 4 6 10 9 41 Reid Chapman '27
Clemens Robinson '28
Indiana University of Pennsylvania Indiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks 8 8 10 8 9 4 47 Serena Aumick '26
Aurora Beaucheane '26
Colgate University Colgate University Raiders 1 9 9 9 9 8 8 52 Stew Adams '26
Rafael Sanchez '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.180+0.18
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders 111331113
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders 222441214
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals3311111315
Indiana University of PennsylvaniaIndiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks4412121418
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions11111313151
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels12121414182
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers1313151513
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets181822412
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 11414181824
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 2151511311

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders 122441212
Colgate UniversityColgate University Raiders 23311111313
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals4412121414
Indiana University of PennsylvaniaIndiana University of Pennsylvania Hawks111113131515
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions121214141818
Queen's UniversityQueen's University Gaels1313151511
Rochester Institute of TechnologyRochester Institute of Technology Tigers1414181822
University of RochesterUniversity of Rochester Yellowjackets11331111
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 115151133
Syracuse UniversitySyracuse University Orange 218182244

Conditions — 09/21/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 59%  ·  Pressure 1013.5 hPa

Temperature

75°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 76°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.0 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From SE (143°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover67% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity59% Pressure1013.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 7 kn · S 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Syracuse: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.13)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.23
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.16)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Syracuse by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Syracuse, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →