U. S. Merchant Marine Academy '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.77 (fleet 1.05) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 1–13 (7%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 1–13 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (14 matches) the record is 1–13 against 0.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Bud Morrow Open Team Race | skipper | 0.61 | 1.40 | 1–13 | 0.5 | +0.80 | 0.3 | 42% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Lake Virginia Invitational | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.0 | 1.46 |
| John Quinn | Skipper | A | 2 | 1.0 | -0.26 |
| Jesuit Open | Skipper | A | 10 | 12.4 | 0.67 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 14.9 | 0.13 |
| Long Island Sound Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 5.7 | 1.22 |
| Bud Morrow Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 7% | — |
| Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup-2026 | Skipper | B | 10 | 11.2 | 1.12 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Stony Brook Fall Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.1 | 0.40 |
| Coho Memorial | Skipper | B | 8 | 4.5 | -0.19 |
| 2026 Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 4 | 21.5 | -0.38 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
