Fordham University '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.30 (fleet 1.74) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.04 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 11–7 (61%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 11–7 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (18 matches) the record is 11–7 against 9.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.5). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 1.62 | 3.25 | 6–3 | 3.9 | +1.64 | 2.6 | 6% |
| 2026-03-14 | WAC Team Race @ Fordham | skipper | 1.48 | 1.10 | 5–4 | 5.5 | −0.38 | 0.1 | 82% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| SMC Open | Skipper | A | 8 | 10.1 | 1.84 |
| KP Dinghy Open Invite | Skipper | A | 1 | 10.0 | — |
| KP Dinghy Open | Skipper | A | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| Jesuit Open | Skipper | B | 14 | 4.1 | 2.95 |
| Chesapeake Open | Skipper | A | 7 | 13.1 | — |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| WAC Team Race @ Fordham | Skipper | TR | 13 | 69% | — |
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 10.4 | 1.54 |
| Stony Brook Team Race | Skipper | TR | 20 | 85% | — |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 4 | 14.0 | 0.09 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 67% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Webb Woolum | Skipper | B | 4 | 6.2 | -0.47 |
| Savin Hill Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 10.9 | 1.40 |
| The John Quinn | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.2 | 2.62 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
