Julia Downey

Crew Rating

Career: 67.63 percentile of ICSA crews
2.503.003.504.004.50O. Hogan-Lopez (16 races): +0.59O. Hogan-LopezT. Straw (8 races): -0.51T. StrawJ. Bergstrom (8 races): +0.15Fall 2024: rating 3.52Fall 2024Harvard UniversityX. Vermont (18 races): -0.37X. VermontSpring 2025: rating 4.15Spring 2025Harvard UniversityC. Straw (13 races): +0.24C. StrawX. Vermont (8 races): -0.07X. VermontZ. Ziskind (3 races): +0.05Fall 2025: rating 4.07Fall 2025Harvard UniversityX. Vermont (8 races): +0.53X. VermontFall 2026: rating 2.47Fall 2026Harvard University
▲ boats did better with this crew than with the skipper's usual crews▼ worseArrow length = size of the push, in rating points
Season Team Rating Range League
percentile
Team
percentile
On team Races Team page
Fall 2026 Harvard University 2.47 Rating 2.47; 90% range -0.8 to 5.7; team skipper average 2.10 73.92 63.33 6 of 15 12 Team page
Fall 2025 Harvard University 4.07 Rating 4.07; 90% range 0.9 to 7.2; team skipper average 3.42 94.69 77.27 3 of 11 24 Team page
Spring 2025 Harvard University 4.15 Rating 4.15; 90% range 1.0 to 7.3; team skipper average 3.48 92.48 70.83 4 of 12 18 Team page
Fall 2024 Harvard University 3.52 Rating 3.52; 90% range 0.3 to 6.7; team skipper average 2.80 88.71 70.00 5 of 15 32 Team page

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.46 unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.00
about what the fleet rating predicts
as crew 9–11 (45%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Fall 20251—3–9
Spring 20251—6–2

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 2 graded regattas (20 matches) the record is 9–11 against 8.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+0.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2025-10-18Norman Reid Team Racecrew1.550.693–93.3−0.870.196%
2025-04-13Alymers Team racecrew1.223.306–25.0+2.081.135%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Fall 2026 Team page Season
Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 Crew C 8 9.0 +0.53
Harvard Invitational Crew C 4 17.0 —
GLIOR J105 Division Keelboat Crew A 3 6.3 —
Fall 2025 Team page Season
Yale Women's Interconference Women's Crew A 3 5.3 +0.05
Norman Reid Team Race Crew TR 12 25% —
Moody Trophy Crew B 8 14.4 -0.07
Harvard Invitational Crew A 4 9.5 +0.13
Charles Invite Crew B 9 6.4 +0.11
Spring 2025 Team page Season
George Morris Trophy Crew B 6 7.5 +0.10
BU Trophy Crew B 12 9.4 -0.46
Alymers Team race Crew TR 8 75% —
Fall 2024 Team page Season
Regis Trophy Women's Crew B 10 10.4 +0.20
Oberg Trophy Crew C 8 13.0 -0.51
Harvard Invitational Crew B 8 15.1 +0.15
BU Invite Crew A 6 7.2 +0.38

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →