Tufts University '28
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 35.74 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.104 rating points from 53 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 | Tufts University | 2.41 | 72.17 | 41.67 | 11 of 18 | 17 | Team page | |
| Fall 2025 | Tufts University | 3.06 | 83.60 | 44.12 | 10 of 17 | 32 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.50 (fleet 2.07) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 43–60 (42%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 6 | — | 37–57 |
| Fall 2025 | 1 | — | 6–3 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 7 graded regattas (103 matches) the record is 43–60 against 47.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−4.5). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 4 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 10 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Thompson Trophy | crew | 2.77 | -0.23 | 0–15 | 3.3 | ≤−3.00 | 5.6 | >99% |
| 2026-04-04 | Mystic Lake Team Race | crew | 2.90 | 2.64 | 9–5 | 9.7 | −0.26 | 0.1 | 78% |
| 2026-03-28 | Jumbo Team Race | crew | 2.86 | 2.08 | 15–7 | 17.0 | −0.78 | 1.1 | 94% |
| 2026-03-21 | The Friis Trophy | crew | 2.93 | 2.39 | 2–14 | 2.7 | −0.55 | 0.3 | 85% |
| 2026-03-07 | The Wood Trophy | crew | 2.87 | 3.22 | 7–13 | 6.0 | +0.35 | 0.3 | 37% |
| 2026-03-01 | McMerrick Team Race Sunday | crew | 2.86 | 2.20 | 4–3 | 4.6 | −0.66 | 0.3 | 89% |
| 2025-10-18 | Norman Reid Team Race | crew | 2.21 | 4.10 | 6–3 | 4.2 | +1.89 | 2.5 | 8% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 | Crew | C | 8 | 6.5 | -0.09 |
| Harry H. Anderson Jr. Trophy | Crew | A | 9 | 10.3 | +0.14 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| The Wood Trophy | Crew | TR | 20 | 35% | — |
| Thompson Trophy | Crew | TR | 15 | 0% | — |
| NEISA Women's Fleet Race Championship -Reed Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 6.5 | +0.25 |
| Mystic Lake Team Race | Crew | TR | 14 | 64% | — |
| McMerrick Team Race Sunday | Crew | TR | 7 | 57% | — |
| Jumbo Team Race | Crew | TR | 22 | 68% | — |
| The Friis Trophy | Crew | TR | 16 | 12% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Regis Trophy Women's | Crew | B | 5 | 9.2 | -0.05 |
| Norman Reid Team Race | Crew | TR | 12 | 75% | — |
| The Hood Trophy | Crew | B | 4 | 3.8 | +0.25 |
| Hewitt Trophy | Crew | A | 12 | 5.2 | -0.59 |
| Harvard Invitational | Crew | A | 4 | 2.2 | +0.29 |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy 25 | Crew | B | 7 | 9.1 | -0.40 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| George Morris Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.0 | 2.49 |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 8.4 | 2.29 |
| BU Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.3 | 1.63 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Hewitt Trophy | Skipper | B | 9 | 8.0 | 1.84 |
| BU Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.7 | 2.56 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.