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Penobscot Bay Open

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 113
2 Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies 123
3 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 126
4 Boston University Boston University Terriers 141
5 McGill University McGill University Redbirds 186
6 University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats 196
7 Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers 203
8 Bates College Bates College Bobcats 209
9 Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 245
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies B 3 15 2 5 8 2 8 1 3 47 Sylvia Burns '26
Ryan Tedeschi '28
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 7 2 1 11 11 11 1 3 4 51 Cooper Smith '27
Lucy Murphy '28
McGill University McGill University Redbirds A 15 1 8 4 4 7 3 4 10 56 Mikhail Lavrenov '26
Akash Shah '27
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 A 11 9 11 10 7 6 4 2 1 61 Ella Beauregard '25
Amelia Griffith '25
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 9 5 7 9 3 8 6 7 8 62 Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez '26
Sabina Coroi '27
Bates College Bates College Bobcats A 1 3 6 1 9 9 14 8 12 63 Jett Lindelof '27 [1-6]
Greta Shuster '25 [7-9]
Matthew Straub '27 [1-6]
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers B 13 4 3 6 5 10 2 11 9 63 Luke Kenahan '27
Luke Dubois '26
Boston University Boston University Terriers B 2 6 13 3 13 4 5 5 13 64 Gavin Monaghan '26
Sage Andrews '28
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 1 B 5 7 4 18 2 3 9 12 5 65 Jane Marvin '28
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats A 4 8 5 2 1 12 15 9 17 73 Sam Harris '26
Brendan Obrien '27
Northeastern University Northeastern University Huskies A 6 11 9 7 10 1 7 DNS 6 76 Aidan Boni '26
Isabella Welch '25
Boston University Boston University Terriers A 8 10 15 15 6 5 10 6 2 77 Renato Korzinek '25 [1-4]
Dylan Balunas '28 [5-9]
Grace Murphy '25 [1-4]
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 A 12 14 10 8 15 17 13 14 11 114 Griffin Stolp '27
Kylie Coxon '27
University of New Hampshire University of New Hampshire Wildcats B 10 16 18 17 12 13 11 10 16 123 Ted Richardsson '27
Trixie Williams '26
McGill University McGill University Redbirds B 14 12 17 14 18 14 18 16 7 130 Brendan Chinn '26
Nicholas Belev '26
Maine Maritime Academy Maine Maritime Academy Mariners 2 B 18 13 16 12 17 15 12 13 15 131 Griffin Stolp '27
Kylie Coxon '27
Massachusetts Maritime Academy Massachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers A 17 17 12 13 16 16 16 DNS 14 140 Zach Earnshaw '27
Mallory Dietsch '27
Bates College Bates College Bobcats B 16 18 14 16 14 18 17 15 18 146 Harrison Nash '27
Leo Silverman '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2013 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats11223344
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers221118181717
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 133445566
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 244332211
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers55667788
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds66554433
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats88776655
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies7788991010
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts99101011111212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Bates CollegeBates College Bobcats1010998877
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers1111121213131414
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 112121111101099
Maine Maritime AcademyMaine Maritime Academy Mariners 21313141415151616
Massachusetts Maritime AcademyMassachusetts Maritime Academy Buccaneers1414131312121111
McGill UniversityMcGill University Redbirds1515161617171818
University of New HampshireUniversity of New Hampshire Wildcats171718181122
Northeastern UniversityNortheastern University Huskies1616151514141313
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts1818171716161515

Conditions — 09/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 74%  ·  Pressure 1009.0 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 64°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.5 kn
Gusts to 21.2 kn
From N (10°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover97% Sunshine4.2 hrs Humidity74% Pressure1009.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 11 kn* · SW 12 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Maine Maritime: an underdogs’ day (−0.07)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.00 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.29 ± 0.14)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.07 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Maine Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Maine Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →